TSLA Great rally in TSLA after the AI generated Vol Breakout signal! Now TSLA reached the 1st Cloud Chart target resistance zone! Top en of the Cloud is a new support zone. Consolidation risk if resistance holds at this level!
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Monday, 11 May 2026
AMD rally still going strong after the AI Volatility Breakout signals! New update the trailing stop-loss level updated using the AI volatility adjusted levels. StarMine data review!
AMD rally still going strong after the AI Volatility Breakout signals! New update the trailing stop-loss level updated using the Ai volatility adjusted levels.
StarMine Analysis — AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)
Overall Picture
AMD presents an extreme valuation disconnect — with one standout bullish signal (Analyst Revisions at a perfect 100) but valuation scores that are among the lowest possible. This is a stock the market is pricing almost entirely on future AI-driven growth expectations.
Bullish Models — Strengths
Analyst Revisions — 100/100 A perfect score — the strongest possible signal in this model. Analysts are revising estimates higher at a rate that puts AMD in the top 1% of all stocks globally. This is a powerful near-term indicator and suggests earnings beats are likely incoming.
Price Momentum — 82/100 Solid but not exceptional. The stock is trending well but the momentum score suggests the price hasn't fully caught up with the earnings revision surge yet — which could be opportunity or caution depending on your view.
Earnings Quality — 77/100 Above average. The earnings being reported are of decent quality — not heavily reliant on one-off items or accounting adjustments. This adds credibility to the strong revision trend.
Smart Holdings — 76/100 The most sophisticated institutional investors (smart money) are accumulating. A score in this range means high-quality, long-term funds are building positions.
Short Interest — 75/100 Moderate-to-low short interest. Bears are present but not dominant, leaving room for a short squeeze if earnings deliver.
Credit Risk Combined — 88/100 | Text Mining — 86/100 Strong balance sheet signals. AMD's financial health is sound and the qualitative/news sentiment analysis is clearly positive.
Bearish Models — Weaknesses
Intrinsic Valuation — 6/100 Practically the floor. On a DCF basis AMD is one of the most overvalued stocks in the global universe. The market is pricing in years of extraordinary growth and execution with virtually no margin for error.
Relative Valuation — 8/100 Confirmed emphatically by the multiples table:
| Metric | AMD (TTM) | Industry Median | Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 85.64 | 40.36 | ~2.1x |
| EV/EBITDA | 71.21 | 24.40 | ~2.9x |
| EV/Sales | 18.41 | 7.99 | ~2.3x |
| P/CF | 93.44 | 27.49 | ~3.4x |
| P/B | 11.51 | 6.07 | ~1.9x |
| Div Yield | 0.00% | 0.43% | None paid |
Every multiple is dramatically above even an already-elevated industry median — meaning AMD is expensive relative to other expensive semiconductor stocks. The forward multiples improve (PE drops to 48.53, EV/EBITDA to 41.23) but remain well above industry norms.
M&A Target — 12/100 At this size and valuation, AMD is essentially un-acquirable. Low but not surprising.
Earnings Estimates
The estimates section is where AMD genuinely shines:
- Analyst Revisions Mean Chg% of +13.04% for Q2 and +10.49% for FY — enormous upward revisions, entirely consistent with the perfect 100 Revisions score. Analysts are chasing numbers higher aggressively.
- Smart Estimate (1.61) sits above Mean Estimate (1.60) for Q2, with a predicted surprise of +0.24% — modest but positive direction.
- Revenue guidance of $10.90B–$11.50B for Q2 is a concrete management anchor, which is reassuring.
- The one mild caution: FY revenue predicted surprise is -0.46% — a slight negative on the top line for the full year, worth monitoring.
Summary Verdict
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Earnings Revision Trend | 🟢 Best in class — perfect score |
| Institutional Accumulation | 🟢 Smart money buying |
| Financial Health | 🟢 Solid |
| Momentum | 🟡 Good but not leading |
| Absolute Valuation | 🔴 Near the bottom globally |
| Relative Valuation | 🔴 Expensive vs expensive peers |
Bottom line: AMD is a pure AI growth conviction trade. Fundamental models are flashing red on valuation from almost every angle, yet the earnings revision momentum is as strong as it gets. The market is essentially betting that AMD's AI chip roadmap will grow into these multiples — and analysts are increasingly agreeing. The risk is binary: if AI infrastructure spend slows or AMD loses ground to competitors or custom silicon, there is very little valuation support beneath the current price. For growth and momentum investors the signals remain constructive; for anyone valuation-aware, this remains a stock that demands exceptional execution quarter after quarter.
GOOGL: Still powering higher after the AI generated volatility breakout signals. New update: updating the trailing stop to lock in profits as the rally goes!
GOOGL powering higher after the AI generated volatility breakout signals. Updating the trailing stop to lock in profits as the rally goes!
StarMine Analysis — Alphabet (GOOGL)
Overall Picture
This is a strongly bullish quantitative profile with a few notable valuation red flags. The model scores paint a stock with excellent momentum and financial health, but trading at a significant premium to its peers.
Bullish Models — Strengths
Price Momentum — 97/100 Exceptionally strong. GOOGL is in the top 3% of stocks globally for price momentum, meaning the trend is firmly in its favour. This is a high-conviction signal that institutional money is flowing in.
Analyst Revisions — 96/100 Analysts are aggressively upgrading their estimates. A score this high means the earnings revision trend is overwhelmingly positive — a classic leading indicator of further price strength.
Short Interest — 93/100 Very low short interest relative to peers. Bears have largely stepped aside, reducing the risk of selling pressure from that side of the market.
Credit Risk (Combined) — 93/100 | Structural — 94/100 GOOGL's balance sheet is fortress-like. The structural and combined credit scores near the top of the range confirm minimal default or financial distress risk — exactly what you'd expect from a cash-generative mega-cap.
Bearish Models — Weaknesses
Intrinsic Valuation — 16/100 A very low score. On a discounted cash flow basis, the market is pricing in a level of future growth that is difficult to justify — the stock looks meaningfully overvalued on absolute terms.
Relative Valuation — 16/100 Confirmed by the table below: GOOGL trades at a substantial premium across every metric vs industry medians:
| Metric | GOOGL (TTM) | Industry Median | Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.40 | -0.06 | Extreme |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.60 | 4.74 | ~5x |
| EV/Sales | 11.09 | 2.50 | ~4.4x |
| P/B | 10.14 | 1.65 | ~6x |
| P/CF | 27.22 | 3.51 | ~7.8x |
| Div Yield | 0.21% | 1.10% | Well below peers |
Every single valuation multiple is dramatically above the industry median, placing GOOGL in the bottom 9–29% of stocks globally on value metrics. This is a growth stock priced to perfection.
M&A Target — 1/100 At this valuation and size, GOOGL is essentially untakeable. No surprise here, but worth noting for those considering event-driven angles.
Earnings Estimates
The estimates section is encouraging on the earnings quality front:
- The Smart Estimate (2.89) sits above the Mean Estimate (2.87) for Q2 Jun-2026, suggesting the more accurate analyst revisions are trending slightly positive — a mild positive surprise indicator backed by the 0.71% predicted surprise.
- For FY Dec-2026, EPS mean estimate of $14.18 with a Smart Estimate of $14.24 and a predicted surprise of 0.39% — again modestly positive.
- Revenue revisions are also trending up, with Mean Chg% of +2.85% for Q2 and +2.90% for the full year.
Summary Verdict
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 🟢 Exceptional |
| Earnings Trend | 🟢 Strong & improving |
| Financial Health | 🟢 Rock solid |
| Absolute Valuation | 🔴 Significantly stretched |
| Relative Valuation | 🔴 Premium to peers on every metric |
| Takeover Appeal | 🔴 Negligible |
Bottom line: StarMine's models describe a high-quality compounder firing on all cylinders operationally, but the market knows it — and has priced it accordingly. For momentum and growth investors, the signals are green. For value-conscious investors, every valuation metric screams caution. The key risk is any earnings miss or guidance cut, which at these multiples could trigger a sharp de-rating.
$SNDK $WDC $STX $MU still going strong since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals! New AI volatility adjusted trailing stop-loss levels in place! So far so good winning with AI!
$SNDK $WDC $ STX $MU still going strong since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals! New AI volatility adjusted trailing stop-loss levels in place! So far so good winning with AI!
$EScv1 S&P500 Index futures powering higher after each AI generated Volatility Breakout signal! But keep that trailing stop-loss in place. May off to a great start so far in the $EScv1
$EScv1 S&P500 Index futures powering higher after each AI generated Volatility Breakout signal! But keep that trailing stop-loss in place as updated by AI. May off to a great start so far in the $EScv1
$NQcv1 Nasdaq 100 futures powering higher, but keep that trailing stop-loss in place. May off to a great start on the NQcv1 !
$NQcv1 Nasdaq 100 futures powering higher, but keep that trailing stop-loss in place on 1H. May off to a great start on the NQcv1 !
SMH.O SMH Semiconductor ETF putting in a stellar performance since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals! Moving the trailing stop higher now!
SMH.O SMH Semiconductor ETF putting in a stellar performance since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals as well as the Cloud Chart support rebound signals! Moving the trailing stop higher now!
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