TSLA Great rally in TSLA after the AI generated Vol Breakout signal! Now TSLA reached the 1st Cloud Chart target resistance zone! Top en of the Cloud is a new support zone. Consolidation risk if resistance holds at this level!
Tuesday, 12 May 2026
Monday, 11 May 2026
AMD rally still going strong after the AI Volatility Breakout signals! New update the trailing stop-loss level updated using the AI volatility adjusted levels. StarMine data review!
AMD rally still going strong after the AI Volatility Breakout signals! New update the trailing stop-loss level updated using the Ai volatility adjusted levels.
StarMine Analysis — AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)
Overall Picture
AMD presents an extreme valuation disconnect — with one standout bullish signal (Analyst Revisions at a perfect 100) but valuation scores that are among the lowest possible. This is a stock the market is pricing almost entirely on future AI-driven growth expectations.
Bullish Models — Strengths
Analyst Revisions — 100/100 A perfect score — the strongest possible signal in this model. Analysts are revising estimates higher at a rate that puts AMD in the top 1% of all stocks globally. This is a powerful near-term indicator and suggests earnings beats are likely incoming.
Price Momentum — 82/100 Solid but not exceptional. The stock is trending well but the momentum score suggests the price hasn't fully caught up with the earnings revision surge yet — which could be opportunity or caution depending on your view.
Earnings Quality — 77/100 Above average. The earnings being reported are of decent quality — not heavily reliant on one-off items or accounting adjustments. This adds credibility to the strong revision trend.
Smart Holdings — 76/100 The most sophisticated institutional investors (smart money) are accumulating. A score in this range means high-quality, long-term funds are building positions.
Short Interest — 75/100 Moderate-to-low short interest. Bears are present but not dominant, leaving room for a short squeeze if earnings deliver.
Credit Risk Combined — 88/100 | Text Mining — 86/100 Strong balance sheet signals. AMD's financial health is sound and the qualitative/news sentiment analysis is clearly positive.
Bearish Models — Weaknesses
Intrinsic Valuation — 6/100 Practically the floor. On a DCF basis AMD is one of the most overvalued stocks in the global universe. The market is pricing in years of extraordinary growth and execution with virtually no margin for error.
Relative Valuation — 8/100 Confirmed emphatically by the multiples table:
| Metric | AMD (TTM) | Industry Median | Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 85.64 | 40.36 | ~2.1x |
| EV/EBITDA | 71.21 | 24.40 | ~2.9x |
| EV/Sales | 18.41 | 7.99 | ~2.3x |
| P/CF | 93.44 | 27.49 | ~3.4x |
| P/B | 11.51 | 6.07 | ~1.9x |
| Div Yield | 0.00% | 0.43% | None paid |
Every multiple is dramatically above even an already-elevated industry median — meaning AMD is expensive relative to other expensive semiconductor stocks. The forward multiples improve (PE drops to 48.53, EV/EBITDA to 41.23) but remain well above industry norms.
M&A Target — 12/100 At this size and valuation, AMD is essentially un-acquirable. Low but not surprising.
Earnings Estimates
The estimates section is where AMD genuinely shines:
- Analyst Revisions Mean Chg% of +13.04% for Q2 and +10.49% for FY — enormous upward revisions, entirely consistent with the perfect 100 Revisions score. Analysts are chasing numbers higher aggressively.
- Smart Estimate (1.61) sits above Mean Estimate (1.60) for Q2, with a predicted surprise of +0.24% — modest but positive direction.
- Revenue guidance of $10.90B–$11.50B for Q2 is a concrete management anchor, which is reassuring.
- The one mild caution: FY revenue predicted surprise is -0.46% — a slight negative on the top line for the full year, worth monitoring.
Summary Verdict
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Earnings Revision Trend | 🟢 Best in class — perfect score |
| Institutional Accumulation | 🟢 Smart money buying |
| Financial Health | 🟢 Solid |
| Momentum | 🟡 Good but not leading |
| Absolute Valuation | 🔴 Near the bottom globally |
| Relative Valuation | 🔴 Expensive vs expensive peers |
Bottom line: AMD is a pure AI growth conviction trade. Fundamental models are flashing red on valuation from almost every angle, yet the earnings revision momentum is as strong as it gets. The market is essentially betting that AMD's AI chip roadmap will grow into these multiples — and analysts are increasingly agreeing. The risk is binary: if AI infrastructure spend slows or AMD loses ground to competitors or custom silicon, there is very little valuation support beneath the current price. For growth and momentum investors the signals remain constructive; for anyone valuation-aware, this remains a stock that demands exceptional execution quarter after quarter.
GOOGL: Still powering higher after the AI generated volatility breakout signals. New update: updating the trailing stop to lock in profits as the rally goes!
GOOGL powering higher after the AI generated volatility breakout signals. Updating the trailing stop to lock in profits as the rally goes!
StarMine Analysis — Alphabet (GOOGL)
Overall Picture
This is a strongly bullish quantitative profile with a few notable valuation red flags. The model scores paint a stock with excellent momentum and financial health, but trading at a significant premium to its peers.
Bullish Models — Strengths
Price Momentum — 97/100 Exceptionally strong. GOOGL is in the top 3% of stocks globally for price momentum, meaning the trend is firmly in its favour. This is a high-conviction signal that institutional money is flowing in.
Analyst Revisions — 96/100 Analysts are aggressively upgrading their estimates. A score this high means the earnings revision trend is overwhelmingly positive — a classic leading indicator of further price strength.
Short Interest — 93/100 Very low short interest relative to peers. Bears have largely stepped aside, reducing the risk of selling pressure from that side of the market.
Credit Risk (Combined) — 93/100 | Structural — 94/100 GOOGL's balance sheet is fortress-like. The structural and combined credit scores near the top of the range confirm minimal default or financial distress risk — exactly what you'd expect from a cash-generative mega-cap.
Bearish Models — Weaknesses
Intrinsic Valuation — 16/100 A very low score. On a discounted cash flow basis, the market is pricing in a level of future growth that is difficult to justify — the stock looks meaningfully overvalued on absolute terms.
Relative Valuation — 16/100 Confirmed by the table below: GOOGL trades at a substantial premium across every metric vs industry medians:
| Metric | GOOGL (TTM) | Industry Median | Premium |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 33.40 | -0.06 | Extreme |
| EV/EBITDA | 24.60 | 4.74 | ~5x |
| EV/Sales | 11.09 | 2.50 | ~4.4x |
| P/B | 10.14 | 1.65 | ~6x |
| P/CF | 27.22 | 3.51 | ~7.8x |
| Div Yield | 0.21% | 1.10% | Well below peers |
Every single valuation multiple is dramatically above the industry median, placing GOOGL in the bottom 9–29% of stocks globally on value metrics. This is a growth stock priced to perfection.
M&A Target — 1/100 At this valuation and size, GOOGL is essentially untakeable. No surprise here, but worth noting for those considering event-driven angles.
Earnings Estimates
The estimates section is encouraging on the earnings quality front:
- The Smart Estimate (2.89) sits above the Mean Estimate (2.87) for Q2 Jun-2026, suggesting the more accurate analyst revisions are trending slightly positive — a mild positive surprise indicator backed by the 0.71% predicted surprise.
- For FY Dec-2026, EPS mean estimate of $14.18 with a Smart Estimate of $14.24 and a predicted surprise of 0.39% — again modestly positive.
- Revenue revisions are also trending up, with Mean Chg% of +2.85% for Q2 and +2.90% for the full year.
Summary Verdict
| Dimension | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Momentum | 🟢 Exceptional |
| Earnings Trend | 🟢 Strong & improving |
| Financial Health | 🟢 Rock solid |
| Absolute Valuation | 🔴 Significantly stretched |
| Relative Valuation | 🔴 Premium to peers on every metric |
| Takeover Appeal | 🔴 Negligible |
Bottom line: StarMine's models describe a high-quality compounder firing on all cylinders operationally, but the market knows it — and has priced it accordingly. For momentum and growth investors, the signals are green. For value-conscious investors, every valuation metric screams caution. The key risk is any earnings miss or guidance cut, which at these multiples could trigger a sharp de-rating.
$SNDK $WDC $STX $MU still going strong since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals! New AI volatility adjusted trailing stop-loss levels in place! So far so good winning with AI!
$SNDK $WDC $ STX $MU still going strong since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals! New AI volatility adjusted trailing stop-loss levels in place! So far so good winning with AI!
$EScv1 S&P500 Index futures powering higher after each AI generated Volatility Breakout signal! But keep that trailing stop-loss in place. May off to a great start so far in the $EScv1
$EScv1 S&P500 Index futures powering higher after each AI generated Volatility Breakout signal! But keep that trailing stop-loss in place as updated by AI. May off to a great start so far in the $EScv1
$NQcv1 Nasdaq 100 futures powering higher, but keep that trailing stop-loss in place. May off to a great start on the NQcv1 !
$NQcv1 Nasdaq 100 futures powering higher, but keep that trailing stop-loss in place on 1H. May off to a great start on the NQcv1 !
SMH.O SMH Semiconductor ETF putting in a stellar performance since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals! Moving the trailing stop higher now!
SMH.O SMH Semiconductor ETF putting in a stellar performance since the AI generated Volatility Breakout signals as well as the Cloud Chart support rebound signals! Moving the trailing stop higher now!
Friday, 8 May 2026
$NQcv1 NDX 100 Index futures rally hitting upside Point & Figure targets! Getting closer to the next targets in this strong rally!
$NQcv1 NDX 100 Index futures rally hitting upside Point & Figure targets! Getting closer to the next upside targets! The key thing to watch is for a P&F chart reversal that will signal the end to the current rally and a period of consolidation. But so far the party still going! FOMO YOLO party like it is 1999!
S&P500 index futures FOMO YOLO rally hitting upside Point & Figure targets as the rally gains steam!
S&P500 index futures FOMO YOLO rally hitting upside Point & Figure targets as the rally gains steam! A P&F chart reversal will signal the end to the current rally and a period of consolidation. But so far the party still going! FOMO YOLO!
Thursday, 7 May 2026
Nasdaq Composite Index and NDX100 Index hitting upside targets as the rally keeps going! But there two critical risk factors to keep in mind in this strong base breakout rally!
Nasdaq Composite and NDX100 hitting upside targets as the rally keeps go... https://youtu.be/Pr7lprKKhf8?si=vYQaScgkQVbSUiDh via @YouTube
Nasdaq Composite Index and NDX100 Index hitting upside targets as the rally keeps going! But there two critical risk factors to keep in mind in this strong base breakout rally! A review of the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC, NDX 100 Index, .NDX, the NDX100 equal weighted index, .NDXE and the Nasdaq 100 index excluding tech index: .NDXX using Cloud Chart analysis. Key upside targets and support zones discussed in this FOMO YOLO rally! Party like it is 1999!
Wednesday, 6 May 2026
QQQ Trades up 22% and TQQQ trades up +72% using artificial intelligence.
QQQ Trades up 22% and TQQQ trades up +72% using artificial intelligence.
Ai trading review of using Artificial Intelligence and Cloud Chart signals on the Daily, 4H 1H charts! Updated trailing stops as the rally is now very extended from key levels.Party like its 1999!
QQQ Trades up 22% TQQQ trades up +72% using artificial intelligence. Par... https://youtu.be/JBhCgbF_Mcs?si=kVDmTwS3erGi_cVD via @YouTube
S&P500 index futures and NDX100 Index Futures still powering higher after the AI Volatility Breakout signals on the 1H Cloud Charts! Updating trailing stops!
S&P500 index futures $EScv1 and NDX100 $NQcv1 Index Futures still powering higher after the Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout signals on the 1H Cloud Charts! Updating trailing stops as the rally keeps going!
Tuesday, 5 May 2026
SNDK, MU, WDC and STX and AMZN : Still going strong since the AI Volatility Breakout trade signals! Trade update: Updated the trailing stop-loss levels!
SNDK, MU, WDC and STX and AMZN : Still going strong since the AI Volatility Breakout trade signals! Trade update: Updated the trailing stop-loss levels to the AI volatility adjusted stop-loss levels!
AMD, GOOGL INTC: All powering higher after the AI Volatility Breakout signals! Trade update : Trailing stop-loss updated to higher levels as the rally keeps going!
AMD, GOOGL INTC: All powering higher after the AI Volatility Breakout signals! Trade update : Trailing stop-loss updated to higher levels as the rally keeps going!
Thursday, 30 April 2026
CAT Caterpillar trade update: Great move since the AI Volatility Breakout signal as well as the Cloud Chart support rebound signals! New updated trailing stop-loss level!
CAT Caterpillar trade update: Great move since the AI Volatility Breakout signal as well as the Cloud Chart support rebound signals! New updated trailing stop-loss level!
StarMine data rankings review:
Based on the StarMine data for Caterpillar Inc. (CAT), there is a stark contrast between the stock’s operational momentum and its current market pricing. StarMine uses a 1-100 percentile ranking, where higher scores generally indicate a more favorable outlook for that specific metric.
Here is an analysis of the key segments:
1. Bullish Drivers: Momentum & Quality
Caterpillar is showing exceptionally strong "technical" and "quality" health.
Price Momentum (92): This indicates that CAT is in the top 8% of stocks globally for price performance. Investors are clearly piling in.
Short Interest (86): A high score here usually means there is very low short selling activity against the stock, or short sellers are covering positions, suggesting market confidence.
Earnings Quality (85): This suggests that CAT’s reported earnings are backed by strong cash flows and sustainable accounting practices, rather than "financial engineering."
Credit Risk (73/79): Both structural and combined credit scores are healthy, indicating a low probability of default and a strong balance sheet.
2. Bearish Warnings: Valuation Extremes
While the company is performing well, the StarMine models suggest you are paying a massive premium for it.
Intrinsic Valuation (12) & Relative Valuation (15): These very low scores indicate the stock is significantly overvalued compared to its historical norms and its peers.
M&A Target Model (2): CAT is almost certainly not an acquisition target. Its massive size and high valuation make it an unlikely candidate for a buyout.
3. Relative Valuation Deep Dive
The table reveals exactly why the valuation scores are so low. CAT is trading at a significant premium compared to the industry median across every single metric:
| Metric | CAT (Trailing 12M) | Industry Median | Analysis |
| P/E Ratio | 39.84 | 15.45 | More than double the industry average cost per dollar of profit. |
| EV/EBITDA | 29.62 | 10.75 | Significantly more expensive relative to operational earnings. |
| P/B Ratio | 17.78 | 2.58 | A global rank of 4; it is among the most expensive stocks in the world relative to its book value. |
| Div Yield | 0.74% | 1.09% | The yield is lower than the industry average, likely due to the stock price rising so fast. |
4. Estimates & Earnings Outlook
The "Smart Estimate" (which gives more weight to the most accurate analysts) is slightly more optimistic than the "Mean Estimate" for revenue.
QTR Jun-2026: Revenue is predicted to be $18.47B with a predicted surprise of 0.64%.
FY Dec-2026: Annual revenue is projected at $74.71B with a healthy EPS of $22.97.
The Verdict: The "Predicted Surprise" is very small (near 0%). This suggests that the market has already priced in the expected growth, leaving little room for a massive "beat and raise" catalyst to push the price even higher.
Summary
Caterpillar is a high-quality, high-momentum company that is currently trading at a luxury price. The data suggests a "priced for perfection" scenario: while the business is firing on all cylinders (Earnings Quality 85), the valuation (Relative Valuation 15) provides a very thin margin of safety for new investors.
STX Seagate Tech having a strong rally since the AI Volatility and Cloud Chart rebound signals! Updating the trailing stop-loss to a new level!
STX Seagate Tech having a strong rally since the AI Volatility and Cloud Chart rebound signals! Updating the trailing stop-loss to a new level!
MAG7: Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout trade signals catching the big money moves!
MAG7: Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout trade signals catching the big money moves!
A review of how to use AI and Cloud Charts as a combined strategy to catch the big money moves in the MAG 7 stocks. So far been a great month with trades on: $AAPL up by 10% and 8%, $AMZN +31.5% & 31.8%, $GOOGL up 23.9% & 27.6%, $META up 25%, $MSFT up +19%, $NVDA up +19% & 26.7%, and $TSLA up 17%! So far so good, winning with AI! Detailed AI and Cloud Chart trading review at : MAG7: Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout trade signals catching... youtube.com/watch?v=jkNu9H2... via @youtubeWednesday, 29 April 2026
WTI and Brent Crude Futures: LCOc1 & CLc1 : AI Volatility Breakout signals catching the big money moves in oil futures. Keeping a close eye on the trailing stop-loss levels in this rally on the 1H Cloud Chart!
WTI Light Crude & Brent Crude Futures: LCOc1 & CLc1 : AI Volatility Breakout signals catching the big money moves in oil futures. Keeping a close eye on the trailing stop-loss levels in this rally on the 1H Cloud Chart!
BP testing support at the Turning Line (TL) of the Cloud, with the Standard Line (SL) as the next support zone. BP consolidating after a great strong rally!
BP testing support at the Turning Line (TL) of the Cloud, with the Standard Line (SL) as the next support zone. BP consolidating after a great strong rally! Forming a new base on top of the Cloud. The top end of the Cloud is a major support zone. The SL, TL and Cloud Span A, top end of the Cloud is potential rebound zones!
Here’s a focused technical review of BP chart (Ichimoku + MACD setup) and what those arrows are signaling.
📈 1) Trend structure: Still bullish, but losing momentum
- Price is above the Ichimoku cloud → primary trend = bullish
- Cloud ahead is green and rising → future support intact
-
Price has pulled back toward:
- Kijun-sen (red line)
- Tenkan-sen (pink line)
👉 This is classic:
➡️ Bull trend → consolidation phase
🟣 2) What arrows are highlighting
➤ Price stalling at resistance
The horizontal arrow shows:
- Repeated rejection around ~576–580
- Small-bodied candles → indecision
👉 Interpretation:
➡️ Market is pausing after a strong rally
➤ Vertical arrows (key insight)
These highlight:
- Price sitting on/just above the Kijun
- Cloud acting as dynamic support below
👉 This is important:
- In strong trends, price often pulls back to Kijun → then resumes
- Cloud below = safety net
📊 3) Ichimoku signals breakdown
Bullish elements:
- Price > cloud ✅
- Cloud future = green ✅
- Kijun rising ✅
Neutral / caution:
- Price inside Tenkan/Kijun zone
- No strong separation from lines
Missing confirmation:
- No clear bounce yet
- No breakout to new highs
👉 Net:
➡️ Bullish bias, but in a “decision zone”
📉 4) Momentum (MACD + relative strength)
- MACD flattening / slightly rolling over
- Earlier strong uptrend now cooling
👉 Interpretation:
➡️ Momentum is not supporting immediate breakout
⚖️ 5) Probable scenarios
🟢 Bull continuation (higher probability if support holds)
Trigger:
- Bounce off Kijun / Tenkan
- Break above ~580 resistance
Target:
- Retest highs → trend continuation
🟡 Sideways consolidation (very likely near-term)
- Range: ~550–580
- Time correction instead of price correction
🔴 Bearish shift (only if key support breaks)
Trigger:
- Clean break below Kijun + into cloud
Implication:
- Move toward cloud support (~520–540 area)
Bottom line
👉 This is not a reversal chart — it’s a healthy pullback in an uptrend
- Trend: Up
- Momentum: Cooling
- Key level: Kijun / cloud top
- Critical trigger: Break above 580 OR lose Kijun
🎯 Practical read
- Aggressive traders: watch for bounce off Kijun
- Breakout traders: wait for clean move above resistance
- Risk signal: loss of cloud support
Institutional data StarMine rankings review:
1) Big picture: Extremely strong quant signal
- Combined Alpha: 96 → top ~4% globally
- This is stronger than Shell’s already high score
👉 Translation:
➡️ BP is screening as a high-conviction multi-factor buy
🚀 2) What’s driving it (this is important)
🔥 Analyst sentiment = exceptional
- Analyst Revisions: 100 (max score)
👉 This is rare and powerful:
- Analysts are aggressively upgrading forecasts
- Historically one of the strongest short-term return drivers
➡️ This is the core bullish engine
💰 Valuation = clearly cheap
- Relative Valuation: 90
- EV/EBITDA: 4.36 vs 2.03 industry median
- EV/Sales: 0.86 vs 2.20
👉 Same story as Shell but slightly stronger:
➡️ BP is deeply undervalued across multiple metrics
📈 Momentum = mixed but still positive
- Value Momentum: 96 (very strong)
- Price Momentum: 71 (only moderate)
👉 Key nuance:
- Fundamentals improving faster than price
➡️ This creates catch-up potential
🧠 Special factor: M&A model
- M&A Target: 91
👉 This suggests:
- Characteristics typical of takeover targets (undervaluation, structure, etc.)
➡️ Not a prediction—but adds optional upside narrative
⚠️ Risk flag (don’t ignore this)
- Credit Risk – Text Mining: 18 (very weak)
👉 Same issue as Shell, but worse:
-
Negative tone in:
- earnings calls
- filings
- news flow
➡️ Market narrative may still be cautious despite strong numbers
📉 3) Earnings signals (very bullish setup)
Short term (next quarter):
- EPS surprise: -2.24% (slightly negative)
👉 Near-term softness possible
Full year:
- EPS surprise: +9.68%
- Revenue surprise: +11.35%
- EPS growth: +36%
👉 This is the key:
➡️ Strong forward upgrade cycle
🔗 4) Connecting this to the Cloud Chart:
From your Ichimoku chart:
- Price stalling below resistance (~580)
- Momentum cooling
- Sitting on Kijun support
Now combine that with StarMine:
👉 You get a classic setup:
🧠 Interpretation:
- Fundamentals = very bullish (top-tier)
- Technicals = pausing / consolidating
➡️ This often precedes:
delayed upside breakout
⚖️ 5) BP vs Shell (quick comparison)
| Factor | BP | Shell |
|---|---|---|
| Combined Alpha | 96 | 92 |
| Analyst Revisions | 100 | 93 |
| Valuation | Stronger | Strong |
| Momentum | Slightly weaker | Stronger |
| Credit text risk | Worse (18) | Better (26) |
👉 Conclusion:
➡️ BP = higher upside / slightly higher narrative risk
🧾 Bottom line
🟢 What’s very bullish:
- Top-decile Combined Alpha (96)
- Perfect Analyst Revisions (100)
- Clear undervaluation
- Strong forward earnings upgrades
🟡 What’s holding it back (short term):
- Weak price momentum
- Negative qualitative sentiment
- Chart shows consolidation
🎯 Final read
👉 BP looks like:
“A fundamentally strong stock that hasn’t fully moved yet”
-
Likely path:
➜ consolidation → eventual breakout -
Risk:
➜ if sentiment worsens, it could stay range-bound longer
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