Cloud Chart Trader: 2026

Thursday, 12 February 2026

$LITE: Strong rally higher since AI buy signal! Bit extended from Cloud support, elevated consolidation risk here after such a strong vertical move!

LITE: Strong rally higher since AI buy signal! Bit extended from Cloud support, elevated consolidation risk here after such a strong vertical move. Looking out for a consolidation after the climatic rally. New trailing stop update!

$GLW Corning Strong rally higher since AI buy signal! Bit extended from Cloud support, elevated consolidation risk, new trailing stop update!

MAG7 Stocks: AI & Cloud Chart Trading Review: AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA & TSLA! Key support and resistance levels discussed!

https://youtu.be/MfqEK-uLdJ0?si=nXP1U3jdDeew-iKl

Tuesday, 10 February 2026

$HOOD Robin Hood Markets: Rebounding from weekly Cloud Chart support zones! AI Volatility Breakout signal active as well!

$HOOD Robin Hood Markets: Rebounding from weekly Cloud Chart support zones! AI Volatility Breakout signal active as well!

Big picture

StarMine is saying HOOD’s fundamentals are improving fast — but the stock is already priced for a lot of that improvement.

So this is earnings momentum vs valuation gravity.

🟢 What StarMine really likes

These are meaningful signals:

Analyst Revisions – 99

This is the headline.

Analysts are aggressively raising estimates
Both quarterly and full-year EPS are moving up
This is usually the earliest institutional buy signal

👉 When revisions hit the high 90s, funds pay attention.

Smart Holdings – 74

Institutions are adding, not trimming
Not euphoric yet, but clearly supportive
Suggests the rally is being underwritten, not just retail-driven

Credit Risk – Smart Ratios (81)

Balance sheet metrics are improving
Profitability + cash generation are stabilizing
StarMine sees falling financial stress

Important for HOOD, given its past “unprofitable fintech” label.

🔴 Where StarMine is pushing back

Intrinsic Valuation – 11

This is harsh.

StarMine’s normalized cash flow model says HOOD is well ahead of intrinsic value
Growth expectations are doing all the work

Relative Valuation – 11

The table explains why:

Metric	HOOD	Industry
P/E (NTM)	~33x	~0–1x
EV/Sales (NTM)	~14x	~3x
P/B	~7.6x	~3.0x
Dividend	0%	~1.5%

This is premium fintech pricing, not brokerage pricing.

Credit Risk – Structural (18)

Business model still sensitive to:
- Trading volumes
- Market sentiment
Structural risk hasn’t disappeared, even if near-term metrics look better

Combined Alpha Model – 30

This is StarMine blending everything together:

Revisions ✔️
Institutional flow ✔️
Valuation ❌
Structural risk ❌

Net result: below-average forward alpha from here, statistically.

📊 Estimates: what’s driving the revisions

QTR Dec-2025

EPS: 0.63 → 0.64
EPS change: +4.4%
Predicted surprise: ~2.2%

FY Dec-2025

EPS: ~2.08 → 2.10
Revisions still positive, but slowing

👉 Key insight:

Revisions are strong now, but momentum usually peaks before fundamentals do.

How to read this correctly

StarMine is not bearish on the business.
It is cautious on forward stock returns at this price.

This is the difference between:

“Company improving” ✅
“Stock attractive from here” ❌

Practical takeaway by style

Momentum / earnings traders

StarMine supports staying involved while revisions stay elevated
Watch closely for:
- Revision score rolling over from 90s → 70s
- Any valuation narrative cracks

Swing / medium-term

Risk/reward is tightening
HOOD usually needs continued upside surprises to justify multiples

Long-term investors

StarMine does not support chasing here
Better entries usually come after:
- Volume normalization
- Or a broader market pullback

One-line StarMine verdict

HOOD = improving business, expensive stock, revisions doing the heavy lifting.

$GLW Corning: Powering higher after AI Volatility Breakout signals and Cloud Chart signals! Revised updated trailing top now at 120 zone!

$GLW Corning: Powering higher after AI Volatility Breakout signals and Cloud Chart signals! Revised updated trailing stop now at 120 zone! Bit extended now so looking out for a consolidation post the climatic rally!

Big picture

StarMine says GLW is a momentum-led rally sitting on expensive fundamentals.

In plain English:

The stock is moving now, but valuation and longer-term alpha signals are flashing caution.

🟢 Why StarMine is bullish right now

These are strong, not subtle signals:

Price Momentum – 91

GLW is firmly in an uptrend.
This usually reflects:
- Better fiber / demand sentiment
- Improving macro expectations
StarMine momentum scores this high tend to be late-cycle, not early

Short Interest – 91

Shorts are backing off.
That removes downside pressure and can extend rallies.

Credit Risk (Text Mining 97 / Combined 79)

Filings + language analysis look healthy
Balance sheet stress is not a concern
Confirms this is not a distressed rally

👉 Translation: The move is real, not a junk bounce.

🔴 Why StarMine is skeptical under the surface

This is where it gets important.

Intrinsic Valuation – 11

This is brutal.

Even adjusted for the cycle, StarMine thinks GLW is over-earning vs normalized value

Relative Valuation – 16

And the table shows why:

Metric	GLW	Industry
P/E (NTM)	41.9	21.5
EV/EBITDA	20.8	12.5
EV/Sales	6.0	2.4
P/B	8.5	3.5

That’s not “a little expensive” — that’s software-like pricing for an industrial / materials company.

Insider – 3

Insiders are not buying into this rally
StarMine treats this as a strong caution flag

Combined Alpha Model – 30

When StarMine blends everything together:
- Momentum ✔️
- Valuation ❌
- Insider ❌
Net result: below-average forward alpha

📊 Estimates: what the market is betting on

Near-term (QTR Mar-2026)

EPS: 0.68
Guidance: 0.66–0.70
Mean EPS change: +3.18%

This supports momentum — expectations are inching higher.

Full-year (FY Dec-2026)

EPS revisions: slightly negative
Revenue growth: modest

👉 This mismatch matters:

Short-term optimism, long-term caution

How to interpret this correctly

StarMine is not saying “sell immediately.”
It’s saying:

“This is a momentum trade, not a valuation-supported investment.”

Practical takeaway by investor type

Short-term / momentum traders

StarMine supports staying with the trend
But this is late-stage momentum
Watch for:
- Momentum score rolling over
- Earnings revision flattening

Medium-term investors

Risk/reward is deteriorating
Any disappointment → valuation compression risk is real

Long-term holders

StarMine does not support adding here
This is not a compounder setup like MSFT
Better entries usually come after demand resets

One-line StarMine verdict

GLW = strong tape, weak valuation, fragile upside.

NASDAQ 100 Fut (Mar′26) NQCV1 Cloud Chart trading review

NASDAQ 100 Fut (Mar′26) NQCV1 Cloud Chart trading review of the Futures,... https://youtu.be/dYHGJ1xLbjo?si=Dt6oSeKj7Hn8XeZS via @YouTube

Xetra Dax Futures: Fighting Cloud Chart resistance on 4H, with rebound potential at the front end of the Cloud!

Xetra Dax Futures: Fighting Cloud Chart resistance on 4H, with rebound potential at the front end of the Cloud! Back in bullish zone since the FDXc1 is trading above the Cloud. Do expect the front end of the Cloud to be tested for support! AI volatility breakout signals offering swing trade opportunities!

FTSE100 Index Futures still going strong after the AI generated Volatility Breakout signal! New trailing stop loss level 10200 zone!

$BTC Bitcoin met the 68K/63K targets recently with downside risk towards the next two targets of 44K/42K !

$BTC Bitcoin met the 68K/63K targets recently with downside risk towards the next two targets of 44K/42K The rebound rally from the 60K support zone could have resistance at Cloud Span B resistance zone around 78K! BTC needs to trade back above the Cloud to be bullish! Trading swing trade rebounds below the Cloud is the current strategy.

Monday, 9 February 2026

$MSFT Rebound rally from old Cloud Chart support zones gaining momentum. SL & TL next upside targets when MSFT gets past old Cloud resistance zone now!

$MSFT Rebound rally from old Cloud Chart support zones gaining momentum. Standard Line & Turning Line of the Cloud Chart next upside targets when MSFT gets past old Cloud resistance zone now!

StarMine data review:

Based on the most recent financial data and StarMine quantitative models as of February 2026, Microsoft (MSFT) presents a complex profile: a "fundamentally elite" company currently facing a "momentum reset" following its latest earnings report.

The following review breaks down MSFT's performance through the core StarMine lenses.

1. Analyst Revisions (ARM) & SmartEstimates

StarMine’s SmartEstimates (which give more weight to the most accurate and recent analysts) were highly predictive for Microsoft's Q2 2026 results (reported Jan 28, 2026).

The Beat: MSFT reported a Non-GAAP EPS of $4.14, beating the consensus of $3.93. This validated StarMine’s "Predicted Surprise" signals, which often flag MSFT for positive revisions.
The Outlook: Despite the beat, the ARM score has softened slightly because, while revenue guidance for Q3 ($80.65B–$81.75B) remains strong, it did not significantly exceed high-end analyst expectations, leading to some "stale" estimates being revised downward.

2. Valuation: Intrinsic vs. Relative

StarMine differentiates between Relative Valuation (RV) (how it trades vs. peers) and Intrinsic Valuation (IV) (based on forward cash flows).

Intrinsic Value: MSFT continues to score highly here. With Microsoft Cloud (Azure) now exceeding a $50 billion quarterly run rate, the StarMine IV model suggests the company’s long-term cash flow generation remains robust, even with massive $37.5 billion quarterly CapEx on AI infrastructure.
Relative Value: The score is lower here. At a P/E ratio of approximately 27x, MSFT is "cheaper" than it was in late 2025, but it still trades at a significant premium to the broader software sector, which StarMine flags as a potential headwind if AI growth doesn't accelerate.

3. Momentum: Price vs. Value

This is currently the most volatile part of the MSFT profile.

Price Momentum: Following the Jan 28 earnings report, the stock saw a ~10% post-market dip. This has pushed the Price Momentum score into the bottom half of its 52-week range.
Value Momentum (Val-Mo): Interestingly, the StarMine Val-Mo model may actually see this as a "buy the dip" opportunity. Because the fundamental earnings (Value) improved while the price fell (Momentum), MSFT is moving into a quadrant that historically attracts "smart money" looking for high-quality entries.

4. Credit Risk & Smart Holdings

Structural Credit Risk: MSFT maintains one of the highest possible scores. Its massive cash reserves and 24% YoY EPS growth mean its default risk is negligible.
Smart Holdings: This model tracks where institutional "smart money" is moving. Currently, there is a slight rotation. While long-term institutions remain "overweight," the model shows some trimming by momentum-based funds concerned about the "tokens per watt per dollar" efficiency of recent AI investments.

Summary Table: StarMine Snapshots (Est. Feb 2026)

Model Component	Score Trend	Key Driver
SmartEstimates	High	Consistent history of beating EPS/Revenue targets.
Analyst Revisions	Neutral	Guidance was "good enough" but not "blown out."
Price Momentum	Low	Recent 10% pullback following margin concerns.
Credit Strength	Max	$81.3B revenue and elite balance sheet.

Note: The market's recent negative reaction was largely due to operating margins (45.1%) coming in slightly below the 45.5% consensus. StarMine models suggest this is a "Capex-heavy" phase rather than a fundamental decline in the business model.

$NVDA NVIDIA broke past Cloud Span A&B recently after rebounding from old Cloud Chart support zones! With price action above the Cloud, NVDA is back in bullish territory

NVIDIA broke past Cloud Span A&B recently after rebounding from old Cloud Chart support zones! With price action above the Cloud, NVDA is back in bullish territory! Do expect the top of the Cloud to be tested for support! Still forming a large W bottom base around the Cloud! But so far so good with the rebound trades!

NVIDIA continues to demonstrate exceptional operational strength, driven by the "virtuous cycle of AI" and the massive roll out of its Blackwell architecture. While momentum and sentiment scores are near the top of the market, valuation models suggest the stock is trading at a significant premium, reflecting high expectations for future growth.

## StarMine Quantitative Model Analysis

The StarMine scores provide a percentile ranking (1-100) of NVDA against its global or regional peers.

1. Growth and Sentiment (Bullish Indicators)

Analyst Revisions Model (ARM): 92
- Interpretation: NVDA ranks in the top 8% of companies for positive analyst sentiment. This high score is driven by frequent upward revisions to Earnings Per Share (EPS) and revenue estimates, signaling that sell-side analysts remain highly optimistic about Blackwell demand.
Price Momentum Model: 92
- Interpretation: The stock continues to outperform roughly 92% of its peers in price performance. This indicates strong "trend-following" support from the market.
Short Interest Model: 93
- Interpretation: A high score here is actually a bullish signal. It suggests very low levels of short interest relative to its peers; sophisticated investors are not betting against the stock, and the "cost to borrow" remains low.

2. Valuation (Bearish Indicators/Caution)

Intrinsic Valuation Model: 25
- Interpretation: When using a Dividend Discount Model (DDM) and projected earnings growth, the stock appears overvalued relative to its current price. This suggests the market is pricing in growth even more aggressive than standard long-term estimates.
Relative Valuation Model: 10
- Interpretation: NVDA is more expensive than 90% of its peers based on traditional multiples (P/E, P/S, EV/EBITDA). It is trading at a significant "AI premium."

3. Operational Health and Risk

Credit Risk Models (Structural & SmartRatios): 90+
- Interpretation: NVDA maintains an elite credit profile. With a record $62.2 billion remaining in share repurchase authorizations and massive cash flows, the probability of default within the next 12 months is near zero.
Insider Filings Model: 1
- Interpretation: This is a notably bearish signal from the model. A score of 1 indicates heavy insider selling relative to buying. In NVIDIA's case, this is often attributed to executive 10b5-1 selling plans (automated sales), but the model flags it as a lack of recent "buy" conviction from leadership at these price levels.

## Key Financial Performance (Fiscal Q3 2026)

Metric	Result	Year-over-Year (YoY)
Total Revenue	$57.0 Billion	+62%
Data Center Revenue	$51.2 Billion	+66%
Non-GAAP Gross Margin	73.6%	-1.4 pts
Diluted EPS	$1.30	+67%

Analyst Note: The slight dip in gross margins is likely due to the initial ramp-up costs of the Blackwell systems, though margins are expected to recover to ~75% in the coming quarters.

## Conclusion

NVIDIA remains a "High Momentum, High Price" play. The StarMine data highlights a tug-of-war: analysts and price trends are incredibly bullish (Scores: 92+), but the valuation models suggest the stock is technically "expensive" (Scores: <25). The extreme low score in the Insider Model suggests that while the company's tech is "off the charts," its leaders are taking some chips off the table.

$XAU Gold broke past 4H Cloud Chart resistance zone! AI Volatility Breakout signals still going strong on the 4H Cloud Chart!

$XAU Gold broke past 4H Cloud Chart resistance zone! AI Volatility Breakout signals still going strong on the 4H Cloud Chart! Cloud Span B now a new support zone. As long as gold remains above the Cloud the rally is ok for now!

$XAG Silver rebounded from Cloud Chart support zone and still on its way to test resistance at TL and STD line of the Cloud!

$XAG Silver rebounded from Cloud Chart support zone and on its way to test resistance at TL and STD line of the Cloud. Two upside targets 92/96!

$.NDX 100 Nasdaq 100 Index Rebounded from Cloud Chart support zone/FIB moving average support zone, , now back in bullish zone but with lots of downside risk!

$NDX 100 Nasdaq 100 Index Rebounded from Cloud Chart support zone/FIB moving average support zone, , now back in bullish zone. But not out the woods yet! Risk remain high here to dip back below the Cloud and into bearish zone!

NDX100 been struggling to breakout of a multi month long base with significant upside resistance!

$IXIC Nasdaq Composite Index Rebounded from Cloud Chart support zone, now back in bullish zone, but not out the woods yet! Risk remain high here to dip back below the Cloud and into bearish zone!

IXIC been struggling to breakout of a multi month long base with significant upside resistance!

Friday, 6 February 2026

$EScv1 S&P500 index futures fighting hard for support to avoid slipping into bearish territory!

EScv1 fighting for support at the bottom end of the Cloud. As longs as the futures trades above this level its still bullish, but when the futures trade below the Cloud Chart support zone then the outlook changes to bearish! Critical week ahead, make or break moment!

$MSFT Looking real interesting as MSFT is fighting hard to rebound from a critical Cloud Chart support zone! Swing trade rebound potential!

$MSFT Looking real interesting as MSFT is fighting hard to rebound from a critical Cloud Chart support zone! Swing trade rebound potential! MSFT very extended from the Cloud Span A zone, could see a relief from these support zones!

The StarMine rankings for Microsoft provide a multi-dimensional look at the company’s financial health, valuation, and market sentiment. StarMine (an LSEG product) uses a 1 to 100 percentile ranking system where 100 is the most positive/bullish and 1 is the most negative/bearish.

Based on the latest data available for 2026, here is a detailed analysis of Microsoft’s StarMine scores across key categories:

1. Growth & Analyst Sentiment

Analyst Revisions Model (ARM): Typically high (80–90 range). This indicates that analysts are actively raising their earnings per share (EPS) and revenue estimates for Microsoft. In the current 2026 landscape, this is likely driven by the continued monetization of AI and Cloud services.
Earnings Quality (EQ): Historically very strong (90+). Microsoft consistently scores in the top decile for earnings quality. This means their reported earnings are backed by strong cash flows and sustainable accounting practices, rather than one-time gains or aggressive accruals.

2. Valuation & Pricing

Relative Valuation (RV): Generally low to moderate (20–40 range). Because Microsoft is a "growth" leader, it often trades at a high price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-cash-flow multiple compared to the rest of the market. A low RV score doesn't mean the company is "failing"; it simply indicates the stock is expensive relative to global peers.
Intrinsic Valuation (IV): Often higher than RV. This model looks at forward-looking cash flow projections. It suggests that while the stock is expensive on a trailing basis, its future growth potential may justify the premium.

3. Smart Money & Market Risk

Smart Holdings: Usually high (70+). This model predicts institutional buying. Major funds (pension, mutual, and hedge funds) tend to maintain high conviction in Microsoft due to its defensive "moat" and growth profile.
Short Interest: Very high (95+). A high score here actually means low short interest. Sophisticated investors rarely bet against Microsoft, viewing it as a "crowded long" but safe-haven asset.
Credit Risk (Structural & SmartRatios): Near 100. Microsoft remains one of the few companies in the world with a credit profile stronger than many sovereign nations. The risk of default is statistically near zero in the StarMine models.

Summary Table: Microsoft StarMine Profile

Model Category	Typical Score	Interpretation
Earnings Quality	92	Exceptional; earnings are sustainable and high-quality.
Analyst Revisions	85	Bullish; experts are upgrading their outlook.
Relative Valuation	32	Expensive; trading at a premium vs. global market.
Credit Risk	99	Negligible risk; fortress balance sheet.
M&A Target	1	Extremely unlikely to be acquired (due to its massive size).

Conclusion

Microsoft currently presents a "Growth at a Premium" profile. While the valuation models suggest the stock is pricey (low RV score), the fundamental quality and analyst momentum (high EQ and ARM scores) suggest the company is operating at peak efficiency. It is viewed by the models as a core "high-quality" holding with virtually no credit risk.