$MRNA Moderna: Swing Trade AI caught a 191% rally in MRNA! Moderna shares surged 176% after its personalised mRNA cancer vaccine, developed with Merck, delivered positive interim Phase 3 melanoma results! AI caught the rally! Analysis at: https://youtu.be/bq6loEAaywc?si=8WTkQVvBg2Xm7upG via @YouTube
Thursday, 20 August 2026
Moderna shares surged 176% after its personalised mRNA cancer vaccine, developed with Merck, delivered positive interim Phase 3 melanoma results! AI caught the rally!
Moderna Doubles!
Moderna shares surged 176% after its personalised mRNA cancer vaccine, developed with Merck, delivered positive interim Phase 3 melanoma results. Combined with Keytruda, the treatment met both primary endpoints by reducing recurrence. This is the biggest single-day biotech move of 2026 and the most significant cancer trial result since the mRNA and reviving confidence in mRNA technology globally.
The Fulgent AI engine that site on the MetaStock platform caught the big money move just in time as the Swing Trade AI engine returned more than 191% since the buy signal in July!
Winning with AI:
More information on the Fulgent AI engine follow this link: https://www.metastock.com/offer/addon?whc=alphaharvestf
Wednesday, 19 August 2026
$AMD, $MU, $SNDK, $NVDA and $WDC Rebound rallies reached resistance targets now dealing with consolidation risk towards critical Cloud Chart support zones with rebound potential.
$AMD, $MU, $SNDK, $NVDA and $WDC Rebound rallies reached resistance targets now dealing with consolidation risk towards critical Cloud Chart support zones with rebound potential.
Artificial Intelligence and Cloud Chart trading review. Support and resistance zones identified for potential swing trades using Ichimoku Cloud Chart analysis.
$AMD, $MU,$SNDK,$NVDA & $WDC Rebound rallies reached resistance targets... https://youtu.be/7np1bfQoQ-8?si=0xGsjYCiX4fktFjQ via @YouTube
Monday, 17 August 2026
$MU Micron: AI Volatility Breakout & Cloud Chart support rebound rally now reached the top end Cloud Chart resistance zones!
$MU Micron: AI Volatility Breakout & Cloud Chart support rebound rally now reached the top end Cloud Chart resistance zones! Keeping a close eye on a potential Cloud Cart breakout past top end Cloud! Fail that downside risk towards Cloud Span B support zone! But so far so good, AI and the Cloud signals caught a great rally in MU!
StarMine rankings looking good so far as its been improving!
$SNDK Sandisk: AI Vol Breakout signals and Cloud Chart support rebound rally getting closer to Cloud Chart targets!
$SNDK Sandisk AI Vol Breakout signals and Cloud Cart support rebound rally getting closer to Cloud Chart targets! Keeping a close eye on price interaction with the top end Cloud Chart zones! But but so far so good! StarMine rankings have improved!
Friday, 14 August 2026
$SPY Bingo! SPY hit the 765/770 & 775 Point & Figure Chart targets! (5x3 H/L P&F chart) Next targets are 800/825 & 825
$SPY Bingo! SPY hit the 765/770 & 775 Point & Figure Chart targets! (5x3 H/L P&F chart) Next targets are 800/825 & 825! Beware a P&F chart reversal in and around targets to signal the end of the current trend and a period of consolidation. But so far so good!
$QQQ Point & Figure Chart trend line rebound rally on its way to next P&F chart targets of 765/770 and 785. (5x3 P&F) So far great rebound rally but beware any P&F chart reversals to signal the end of the current trend and a period of consolidation.
$QQQ $QQQ Point & Figure Chart trend line rebound rally on its way to next P&F chart targets of 765/770 and 785. (5x3 P&F) So far great rebound rally but beware any P&F chart reversals to signal the end of the current trend and a period of consolidation. P&F charts are great because there is no time on them only pure price movements! The are specific formulas to calculate price targets so applied mathematics work really well on P&F charts!
$QQQ & $SPY Still going strong after the AI Volatility Breakout signals on the hourly Cloud Chart! Top end of the Cloud, Cloud Span A is a major support zone!
$QQQ & $SPY Still going strong after the AI Volatility Breakout signals on the hourly Cloud Chart! Top end of the Cloud, Cloud Span A is a major support zone! As long as the QQQ and SPY remains above Cloud span A the rally will be ok on the hourly chart.
More info on the AI used: https://www.metastock.com/alphaharvestf
Thursday, 13 August 2026
$CRWV CoreWeave: AI Volatility Breakout trade up +78% since the Cloud Chart support rebound, now reached the target resistance zone! StarMine data indicate very high credit risk! CRWV needs to raise more money!
$CRWV CoreWeave: AI trade up +78% since the Cloud Chart support rebound trade and AI generated Vol Breakout signal! Now reached the Cloud target resistance zone! StarMine data indicate very high credit/bankruptcy risk! CRWV needs to raise more money!
A review of the StarMine data and the AI & Cloud Chart trade signals with support and resistance zones identified!
Wednesday, 12 August 2026
$CRWD CrowdStike: 134% rebound rally moving closer to the 240 target! BUT CRWD very extended from Cloud, now in high risk zone! Keeping trailing stops in place at these extended levels!
$CRWD CrowdStike: 134% rebound rally moving closer to the 240 target! BUT CRWD very extended from Cloud, now in high risk zone! Keeping trailing stops in place at these extended levels!
A review of the daily and weekly AI and Cloud Chart signals for CRWD as well as a review of the StarMine data to highlight the bullish case and the risk in the bearish rankings!
IXIC Nasdaq Composite Index: Downside risk towards Cloud Span A as old high resistance zones keeping the lid on the rally up to here! Beware seasonality.
IXIC Nasdaq Composite Index: Downside risk towards Cloud Span A as old high resistance zones keeping the lid on the rally up to here! Beware seasonality.
NDX NASDAQ 100 having a hard time to maintain support at Cloud Span A , top end of the Cloud! Downside risk! NDXE Nasdaq 100 equal weight index: Looking good so far and getting closer to upside targets! NDXX Nasdaq 100 index excluding tech: Looking hot with old highs as next resistance targets!Big Picture Market Review of Nasdaq Composite, NDX100, NDXX and NDXE usi... https://youtu.be/AcSBU_uAG04?si=WpZYC49P7gaG5r-t via @YouTube
$HACK Amplify Cybersecurity ETF: Very extended on the weekly Cloud Chart. Updating trailing stops to new level. Great rally after the AI Vol Breakout trade signals, but consolidation risk is high at elevated levels!
$HACK Amplify Cybersecurity ETF: Very extended on the weekly Cloud Chart. Updating trailing stops to new level on daily as per chart.
Great rally after the AI Vol Breakout trade signals, but consolidation risk is high at elevated levels with the 3rd wave move nearing completion. Risk management is key!
Daily Cloud Chart:
Gold XAU= Rebound rally broke past top end Cloud Span B resistance zone! Old Cloud Chart levels new upside targets.
Gold XAU= Rebound rally broke past top end Cloud Span B resistance zone! Old Cloud Chart levels new upside targets. Front end Cloud zone also a key support zone!
Four hour and one hour time frame also offered great AI generated Vol Breakout trade signals as the rally broke past Cloud Chart resistance! So far so good!
Four hour and one hour time frame also offered great AI generated Vol Breakout trade signals as the rally broke past Cloud Chart resistance! So far so good!
Consolidation risk to the Standard Line support zone on the 4 Hour! New support rebound zone!
The hourly chart offered great swing trade opportunities using AI! As long as XAU remains above the top end of the Cloud on the 60 min the rally should be ok.
Tuesday, 11 August 2026
$PANW Palo Alto Networks: Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout signals caught great rallies in PANW! But beware now stock very extended from Cloud Span A! Consolidation risk high, keeping an eye on trailing stops as the rally goes!
$PANW Palo Alto Networks: Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout signals caught great rallies in PANW! But beware now stock very extended from Cloud Span A! Consolidation risk high, keeping an eye on trailing stops as the rally goes!
Ai caught great rallies on both the daily and weekly Cloud Charts!
StarMine institutional rankings give the bull and bear risk factors to keep in mind!
$CRWD Crowdstrike: Artificial Intelligence Volatility Beakout signals caught great rallies in CRWD! But beware now stock very extended from Cloud Span A! Consolidation risk!
$CRWD Crowdstrike: Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout signals caught great rallies in CRWD! But beware now stock very extended from Cloud Span A! Consolidation risk high, keeping an eye on trailing stops as the rally goes!
Ai caught great rallies on both the daily and weekly Cloud Charts!
StarMine institutional rankings give the bull and bear factors to keep in mind!
$JPM JPMorgan powering higher since the AI Volatility Breakout signals! Now quite extended on weekly Cloud Chart, so keeping close eye on the trailing stop!
$JPM JP Morgan powering higher since the AI Volatility Breakout signals! Now quite extended on weekly Cloud Chart, so keeping close eye on the trailing stop!
Consolidation support zones are the Turning Line, Standard Lines and Cloud Span A the top end of the Cloud! These key rebound support zones!
On the weekly Cloud JPM is now well extended from Cloud Span A, top end of the Cloud, and this adds to the risk in the current really! Keeping a close eye on risk management and trailing stops as the rally goes! Beware consolidation risk!
ESU26 S&P500 Index Futures: So far so good support is still holding at the critical Cloud Chart zone on the 1 H Cloud Chart!
ESU26 S&P500 Index Futures: So far so good support is still holding at the critical Cloud Chart zone on the 1 H Cloud Chart! Any price action below Cloud Span B could trigger a consolidation down to Cloud support zones on the 4 H and Daily Cloud Charts! AI volatility breakout signals have caught some great rallies!
Updated 1 hour, 4 hour and daily Cloud charts with the AI volatility breakout signals on each one:
On the 4 Hour Cloud Chart the ESU26 getting closer to the Standard Line of the Cloud, and it is a critical support zone. Need to see a rebound from that zone! If support fails at that level there is downside risk towards the top end of the Cloud!
Three support zones to watch on the daily Cloud, two old highs and the Standard Line of the Cloud! Consolidation risk towards those levels if the recent breakout does not have a follow on rally from these levels!
NQU26 Nasdaq 100 Index Futures: A new week and the Nasdaq Futures are having a hard time to get past Cloud Chart resistance at Cloud Span A, the top end of the Cloud!
NQU26 Nasdaq 100 Index Futures: A new week and the Nasdaq Futures are having a hard time to get past Cloud Chart resistance at Cloud Span A, the top end of the Cloud! Need to see a breakout past this Cloud zone! If resistance holds at Cloud level then there is downside risk towards the Cloud Span B zone at the bottom end of the Cloud!
Here the Daily, 4 Hour and 1 Hour chart showing the various Cloud chart resistance and support zones together with the respective AI Vol Breakout signals!
So far the Artificial Intelligence Volatility Breakout signals have caught some great moves!
On the 1 hour Cloud Chart it is critical for the Nasdaq futures to remain above the Cloud to remain bullish. When the futures rolls over to below the Cloud on the hourly chart there is downside risk towards Cloud Span A on the 4 hours chart!
Monday, 10 August 2026
$PLTR Still going strong after the AI Vol Breakout signals! Reached the 3rd upside Cloud Chart target and closer to the 4th Cloud Chart target!
$PLTR Still going strong after the AI Vol Breakout signals! Reached the 3rd upside Cloud Chart target and closer to the 4th Cloud Chart target! StarMine data ranking highlight the bull and bear case!
So far so good. keeping close eye on the trailing stop as the rally goes!
StarMine data review:
Palantir (PLTR) — StarMine Data Review
This StarMine snapshot presents an unusually polarized picture for Palantir Technologies (PLTR): exceptionally strong earnings, analyst-revision and credit signals are being offset by one of the most extreme valuations in the market and relatively weak price momentum.
The fundamental momentum is outstanding. The valuation is the obvious risk.
StarMine scorecard
| StarMine Model | Score | Assessment |
|---|---|---|
| Analyst Revisions | 99 | Exceptional |
| Earnings Quality | 99 | Exceptional |
| Credit Risk – Combined | 99 | Exceptional |
| Credit Risk – Smart Ratios | 100 | Exceptional |
| Credit Risk – Structural | 74 | Strong |
| Credit Risk – Text Mining | 85 | Very strong |
| Value Momentum | 24 | Weak |
| Price Momentum | 30 | Weak |
| Intrinsic Valuation | 2 | Extremely expensive |
| Relative Valuation | 6 | Extremely expensive |
| M&A Target | 8 | Very low |
The key message is immediately apparent:
StarMine sees an exceptionally strong company, but an exceptionally expensive stock.
1. Analyst Revisions — 99: exceptionally bullish
This is one of the strongest possible StarMine signals.
A 99 Analyst Revisions score places PLTR near the very top of the StarMine universe for the direction and strength of analyst estimate revisions.
More importantly, the estimates section in your screenshot provides additional confirmation.
September 2026 quarter
| EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|
| Mean Estimate | $0.41 | $2.15B |
| SmartEstimate | $0.42 | $2.18B |
| Predicted Surprise | +3.07% | +1.15% |
| Mean Change | +9.97% | +7.77% |
This is an excellent configuration.
The SmartEstimate exceeds the consensus estimate for both EPS and revenue.
StarMine therefore sees a reasonable probability that the traditional consensus is still somewhat too conservative.
The magnitude of recent estimate changes is particularly impressive:
EPS estimates +9.97%
Revenue estimates +7.77%
Those are substantial upward revisions.
FY December 2026
The same pattern appears at the full-year level:
| EPS | Revenue | |
|---|---|---|
| Mean Estimate | $1.58 | $8.09B |
| SmartEstimate | $1.64 | $8.21B |
| Predicted Surprise | +3.93% | +1.50% |
| Mean Change | +7.57% | +5.06% |
Again:
SmartEstimate > Consensus
for both earnings and revenue.
That is one of the most important bullish signals in the entire StarMine dataset.
Interpretation: Extremely bullish
The earnings outlook isn't merely strong—analysts appear to be chasing PLTR's earnings trajectory upward.
2. Earnings Quality — 99: another exceptional signal
This is particularly important.
PLTR has an Earnings Quality score of 99.
StarMine is therefore not simply detecting rapid earnings growth; it regards the characteristics underlying those earnings as exceptionally strong relative to its global universe.
That's a significant distinction.
Rapid earnings growth accompanied by poor earnings quality would be a warning. Here we have:
Analyst Revisions: 99
plus
Earnings Quality: 99
That's a powerful fundamental combination.
It suggests the earnings story is both improving rapidly and fundamentally robust according to the StarMine models.
3. Credit Risk — almost perfect
PLTR's credit models are extraordinary:
Combined Credit Risk: 99
Smart Ratios: 100
Structural: 74
Text Mining: 85
There is essentially no significant financial-distress warning coming from these models.
The 100 Smart Ratios score is particularly notable.
StarMine's financial ratios are indicating extremely strong credit characteristics relative to other companies.
This removes one of the common concerns associated with rapidly growing technology businesses.
Overall credit assessment: Exceptionally strong
4. The major problem — valuation
And this is where the analysis changes dramatically.
Intrinsic Valuation: 2
Relative Valuation: 6
Those are extraordinarily low scores.
StarMine is effectively screaming:
PLTR is extremely expensive.
The detailed multiples make the reason obvious.
| Valuation | PLTR TTM | Industry Median | PLTR Forward | Industry Median |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E | 133.9× | — | 81.24× | 12.59× |
| EV/EBITDA | 103.13× | 5.82× | 60.02× | 8.85× |
| Dividend Yield | 0% | 1.33% | 0% | 1.19% |
| EV/Sales | 60.16× | 2.76× | 37.44× | 2.16× |
| P/CF | 119.0× | 4.03× | 70.86× | 13.31× |
| P/B | 42.19× | 2.03× | 25.42× | 3.57× |
These aren't merely premium valuations.
They are extreme premium valuations.
5. Forward P/E: 133.9× → 81.2×
There is an important positive hidden inside those enormous numbers.
PLTR's P/E is expected to fall from:
133.9× → 81.24×
That is roughly a 39% compression in the earnings multiple.
Likewise:
EV/EBITDA:
103.1× → 60.0×
EV/Sales:
60.2× → 37.4×
P/CF:
119× → 70.9×
P/B:
42.2× → 25.4×
This tells us something important about PLTR.
The company's underlying financial metrics are expected to grow extremely rapidly.
The problem is that even after that growth occurs, the stock remains extremely expensive.
A forward P/E of 81× is still approximately 6.5 times the industry median shown in the screenshot.
6. EV/Sales is perhaps the biggest valuation warning
The most striking number for me is:
60.16× trailing EV/Sales
versus an industry median of:
2.76×
Even forward EV/Sales remains:
37.44×
versus:
2.16× industry median
That means investors are paying approximately:
17× the industry median forward EV/Sales multiple.
That is enormous.
PLTR therefore needs to continue delivering exceptional revenue growth and margin expansion simply to justify the existing valuation.
This creates expectation risk.
The company doesn't necessarily have to produce bad results for the stock to fall.
It merely has to produce results that are less spectacular than investors expect.
7. Price Momentum — only 30
This is probably the most interesting part of the entire StarMine setup.
Despite:
99 Analyst Revisions
99 Earnings Quality
99 Combined Credit Risk
PLTR has:
Price Momentum: 30
That is a significant divergence.
The stock's price momentum isn't confirming the extraordinary fundamental scores.
This creates two possible scenarios.
Bullish scenario
Price momentum begins improving toward 50, 60, 70+ while Analyst Revisions remain around 90–99.
That would be extremely interesting.
It would suggest the stock was beginning to respond again to the improving fundamental outlook.
Bearish scenario
Price Momentum remains weak and eventually analysts begin reducing estimates.
In that case, PLTR's extraordinary valuation becomes considerably more dangerous.
This is therefore a stock where I would put considerable emphasis on technical confirmation before adding aggressively.
8. Value Momentum — 24
Value Momentum at 24 reinforces the message.
PLTR's growth characteristics are impressive, but the relationship between price, valuation and momentum isn't currently attractive according to StarMine.
The combination:
Value Momentum 24
Price Momentum 30
Intrinsic Valuation 2
Relative Valuation 6
creates a very clear warning cluster.
Compare that with the fundamental cluster:
Analyst Revisions 99
Earnings Quality 99
Credit Risk 99
You almost couldn't construct a clearer example of:
Excellent company versus expensive stock.
9. SmartEstimate points toward another earnings beat
This deserves particular attention.
For Q3 September 2026:
Consensus EPS: $0.41
SmartEstimate: $0.42
Predicted Surprise: +3.07%
Revenue:
Consensus: $2.15B
SmartEstimate: $2.18B
Predicted Surprise: +1.15%
For FY2026:
Consensus EPS: $1.58
SmartEstimate: $1.64
Predicted Surprise: +3.93%
Revenue:
Consensus: $8.09B
SmartEstimate: $8.21B
Predicted Surprise: +1.50%
There is therefore a consistent pattern:
SmartEstimate > Consensus
for quarterly EPS, quarterly revenue, annual EPS and annual revenue.
That's a strong StarMine earnings signal.
10. The earnings-revision trend may be even more important
Look at the Mean Change %:
Q3 2026
EPS: +9.97%
Revenue: +7.77%
FY2026
EPS: +7.57%
Revenue: +5.06%
This indicates estimates have been moving materially upward.
The combination of:
rising estimates + SmartEstimate above consensus + positive predicted surprise
is precisely what I would want to see in a high-growth company.
The fundamental momentum is therefore difficult to fault.
PLTR StarMine Bull/Bear Matrix
| Bullish | Bearish |
|---|---|
| 🟢 Analyst Revisions 99 | 🔴 Intrinsic Valuation 2 |
| 🟢 Earnings Quality 99 | 🔴 Relative Valuation 6 |
| 🟢 Credit Risk Combined 99 | 🔴 Price Momentum 30 |
| 🟢 Smart Ratios 100 | 🔴 Value Momentum 24 |
| 🟢 Credit Text Mining 85 | 🔴 81× forward P/E |
| 🟢 Positive EPS Predicted Surprise | 🔴 37× forward EV/Sales |
| 🟢 Positive Revenue Predicted Surprise | 🔴 Huge expectations embedded in price |
| 🟢 Rapid upward estimate revisions | 🔴 Large downside if growth disappoints |
Overall StarMine assessment
Fundamentals: 9.5/10
Outstanding.
Earnings outlook: 10/10
The 99 Analyst Revisions score combined with SmartEstimate readings above consensus is exceptionally strong.
Earnings quality: 10/10
StarMine score of 99.
Financial strength: 10/10
Credit Risk 99 and Smart Ratios 100.
Momentum: 4/10
Price Momentum of 30 is a clear weakness.
Valuation: 1/10
Intrinsic Valuation 2 and Relative Valuation 6 are major warnings.
Investment conclusion
PLTR currently looks like a classic high-growth momentum company undergoing a valuation-versus-growth battle.
Fundamentally, the StarMine data is exceptionally impressive. The combination of:
Analyst Revisions 99 + Earnings Quality 99 + Credit Risk 99 + Smart Ratios 100
is about as strong a fundamental cluster as one could reasonably expect.
Even better, StarMine's SmartEstimate is above consensus for both earnings and revenue at the quarterly and annual levels, suggesting further positive earnings surprises remain possible.
But the valuation is extraordinary.
At approximately 81× forward earnings, 60× forward EBITDA and 37× forward sales, PLTR has very little room for disappointment. The market is already pricing in years of exceptional execution.
That makes Price Momentum 30 particularly important.
What would make PLTR considerably more attractive?
For your type of combined fundamental/technical approach, I'd watch for three things simultaneously:
1. Analyst Revisions remaining above 90
2. Price Momentum recovering from 30 toward 60–70+
3. A renewed bullish technical trend — particularly price reclaiming/holding above the Ichimoku Cloud with Tenkan/Kijun confirmation
If those three align, you'd have fundamental acceleration + improving price momentum + technical confirmation.
At the moment, the first is exceptionally strong, while the latter two aren't giving the same level of confirmation.
Bottom line: Bullish company, cautious on the stock at this valuation.
The StarMine data does not suggest PLTR's underlying business is deteriorating—quite the opposite. It suggests fundamentals are exceptionally strong. The risk is that the share price has already capitalised a very large amount of future success.
That means the key question for PLTR isn't "Is the company growing?" The StarMine numbers emphatically say yes.
The question is:
Can PLTR grow fast enough, for long enough, to justify 81× forward earnings and 37× forward sales?
That is the central investment issue shown by this StarMine snapshot.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)