Thursday, 29 May 2025
Wednesday, 28 May 2025
META: Still going strong after the AI buy signal (up +30%)! META hit a key Cloud Chart resistance zone, and now consolidating to setup for the rebound from front end Cloud Chart support zones! Danelfin AI score buy signal still in place!
META: Still going strong after the AI buy signal! META hit a key Cloud Chart resistance zone, and now consolidating to setup for the rebound from front end Cloud Chart support zones!
CrowdStrike CRWD: Up by more than 57% since the AI buy signal! Strong really since CCX signal! Downside risk: Becoming too extended from the Cloud!
CrowdStrike CRWD: Up by more than 57% since the AI buy signal! Strong really since CCX signal! Downside risk: Becoming too extended from the Cloud!
CRWD up by more than 57% since the Artificial Intelligence buy signal. Up by more than 30% and 32% since the Cloud Chart trade signals! Up by more than 25% since the Cloud Chart Cross buy signal!
Recently broke out a brief consolidation period. Cloud chart Turning Line and Standard Line are the new support zones to watch in this really. The top end of the front end of the Cloud a major support zone!
CRWD now becoming extended from the Cloud support zones so keep a close eye on risk management when the consolidation starts after the momentum rally!
Check the StarMine analysis for more fundamental valuations.
StarMine Quantitative Model Analysis –
CrowdStrike (CRWD)
Date: May 28, 2025
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD) shows a
blend of technical strength and credit quality, but faces serious challenges in
valuation, analyst sentiment, and institutional interest. Below is a breakdown
of the StarMine model signals:
🔴 Negative Signals (Caution/Overvaluation)
• Combined Alpha (Score: 6) – Weak overall
composite signal — potential underperformance expected.
• Value Momentum (Score: 4) – Poor combined
score of valuation and earnings momentum.
• Analyst Revisions (Score: 14) – Analysts
have been cutting earnings estimates, indicating falling expectations.
• Intrinsic Valuation (Score: 1) –
Extremely overvalued on fundamental metrics.
• Relative Valuation (Score: 5) – Valuation
is rich across key ratios.
• Smart Holdings (Score: 14) – Low
conviction from institutions with strong historical performance.
• Insider (Score: 25) – Weak insider
activity — few signs of internal confidence.
• Short Interest (Score: 42) – Slightly
elevated short interest.
🟢 Positive Signals (Supportive Factors)
• Price Momentum (Score: 77) – CRWD has
maintained strong price action, appealing to technical traders.
• Earnings Quality (Score: 88) –
High-quality earnings, likely free from accounting manipulation.
• Credit Risk (Combined) (Score: 82) – Very
strong balance sheet, with low default risk.
• Credit - Smart Ratios (Score: 81) –
Financial ratios support strong credit fundamentals.
⚖️ Neutral or Mixed Signals
• Credit Risk - Structural (Score: 58) –
Moderately strong on capital structure and leverage.
• Credit Risk - Text Mining (Score: 52) –
No strong red flags from textual financial disclosures.
• M&A Target Model (Score: 58) – Medium
likelihood of being an M&A target — not a driver currently.
📉 Relative Valuation Breakdown – CRWD vs. Industry
CRWD is significantly overvalued compared
to its peers on all major valuation metrics:
• P/E: 125.39 (Industry Median: -0.01,
Global Rank: 6)
• EV/EBITDA: 108.39 (Industry Median: 7.34,
Global Rank: 4)
• EV/Sales: 27.04 (Industry Median: 3.06,
Global Rank: 2)
• P/CF: 84.42 (Industry Median: 4.67,
Global Rank: 8)
• P/B: 35.48 (Industry Median: 1.96, Global
Rank: 2)
🧠 Overall Interpretation
CRWD presents a valuation-risk stock
supported by quality earnings and strong technicals:
- Strong balance sheet and earnings quality support the business long-term.
- However, institutional interest is weak, and analyst sentiment is negative.
- Valuation multiples are extremely stretched, increasing downside risk if
growth falters.
🔍 Recommendation Strategy
- 🚫 Value investors likely to avoid
due to poor valuation scores.
- ✅ Momentum traders may be interested due to strong price action (Score: 77).
- ⚠️ Quality-focused investors see mixed signals — strong credit/earnings, but
weak insider and analyst sentiment.
- ⚠️ Risk-averse investors should be cautious of momentum reversal.
TSLA: Up 60% since the AI generated volatility breakout buy signal! Up +44% since the Cloud Chart buy signal! Hitting upside targets as the rally gains momentum!
TSLA: Up 60% since the AI generated volatility breakout buy signal! Up +44% since the Cloud Chart buy signal! Up +30% since the Cloud Cart turning line buy signal and the trend line breakout buy signal.
TSLA hit the 327/349 and 363 Cloud Chart targets. Next targets are 378/399/406! New key support zones in the current rally are 327/341 and the top end of the front end of the Cloud!
Beware consolidation risk when TSLA become too extended from the top end Cloud Chart zones!
TSLA: Hitting upside targets as the rally gains momentum! A pure momentum trade for now!
StarMine Quantitative Model Analysis – Tesla
(TSLA)
Date: May 28, 2025
The StarMine models assess various factors
across valuation, momentum, earnings quality, credit risk, and ownership. Tesla
shows a highly mixed profile, with notable divergences between technical and
fundamental signals.
🔴 Negative Signals (High Risk / Overvaluation)
• Combined Alpha Model (Score: 8) – Very
weak alpha signal — StarMine's composite model suggests TSLA is likely to
underperform.
• Value Momentum (Score: 5) – Weak value
and earnings momentum — indicates overpricing and lack of positive fundamental
shifts.
• Analyst Revisions (Score: 16) – Analysts
are cutting EPS estimates — a bearish sign reflecting declining sentiment.
• Intrinsic Valuation (Score: 1) –
Extremely overvalued based on discounted cash flow and fundamentals.
• Relative Valuation (Score: 5) – TSLA
trades at extreme valuation multiples compared to peers (e.g., P/E 156 vs.
industry median 2.3).
• Short Interest (Score: 39) – Some bearish
positioning — not extreme, but noteworthy.
🟢 Positive Signals (Supportive Factors)
• Price Momentum (Score: 90) – Strong
upward price momentum — suggests traders are driving TSLA higher.
• Insider (Score: 78) – Insiders have been
buying or holding — a bullish sign of confidence.
• Smart Holdings (Score: 62) – Held by
funds with good historical performance — indicates institutional support.
• Credit Risk (Combined) (Score: 65) –
Moderate to low credit risk — stable balance sheet.
• Credit Smart Ratios (Score: 65) – Solid
financial ratios, suggesting manageable debt levels.
⚖️ Neutral or Mixed Signals
• Earnings Quality (Score: 52) – Average
accounting quality — neither aggressive nor conservative.
• Credit - Structural/Text Mining (Score:
38–45) – Weaker than average on qualitative credit signals.
• Event Prediction / M&A Model (Score:
32) – No active M&A signal or event catalyst detected.
📉 Relative Valuation Breakdown
Tesla is significantly overvalued based on
traditional valuation metrics compared to its industry peers:
• P/E: 156.45 (Industry Median: 2.30,
Global Rank: 6)
• EV/EBITDA: 68.39 (Industry Median: 4.23,
Rank: 5)
• EV/Sales: 10.99 (Industry Median: 0.82,
Rank: 5)
• P/CF: 81.39 (Industry Median: 3.10, Rank:
8)
• P/B: 14.62 (Industry Median: 0.83, Rank:
4)
🧠 Overall Interpretation
Tesla shows a classic growth-stock
valuation trap profile:
- Technical traders may be attracted to strong price momentum (Score: 90) and
insider confidence.
- Fundamental investors would be cautious due to extreme overvaluation and
negative revisions.
- Credit and ownership signals are stable but not strong enough to offset
valuation risks.
🔍 Recommendation Strategy
- ⚠️ Caution is advised for value or
earnings-driven investors.
- ✅ Momentum traders may still find opportunity short-term.
- 📉 Watch for reversal in price momentum that could align with negative
revisions and trigger sell-offs.
Tuesday, 27 May 2025
Thursday, 22 May 2025
Bitcoin BTCUSD: Reached the next extended Cloud Chart resistance zone at the front end of the extended projected Cloud!
Bitcoin BTCUSD: Reached the next extended Cloud Chart resistance zone at the front end of the extended projected Cloud (Only available on Updata)
So far so good, BTC performed very well since the Cloud Chart buy signals!
FOMO YOLO keeping the party going!
Wednesday, 21 May 2025
$BTC.X Artificial intelligence (AI) generated trades on Bitcoin still going strong. BTC now hitting the 109 resistance zone!
$BTC.X Artificial intelligence (AI) generated trades on Bitcoin still going strong. BTC now hitting the 109 resistance zone! Critical to break past this zone on a sustainable basis! The risk now is that BTC is a bit extended now from the top end Cloud Chart support zone!Keep a close eye on the trailing stop-loss! So far so good using AI and Cloud Charts to trade Bitcoin!
Tuesday, 20 May 2025
Thursday, 15 May 2025
Wednesday, 14 May 2025
TSLA: Broke past top end Cloud Chart resistance at 328. TSLA up by more than 50% since the AI & Cloud Chart buy signal! Upside targets: 350/363!
TSLA: Broke past top end Cloud Chart resistance at 328. TSLA up by more than 50% since the AI & Cloud Chart buy signal! Upside targets: 350/363! Need to see a followup rally from this 328 resistance that TSLA is now fighting!
Top end of the front end of the Cloud is the new support zone!
Tuesday, 13 May 2025
NVDA: Powering ahead as it broke past Cloud Chart resistance! Up significantly (+40%) since the AI and CC rebound signal! Next resistance zones key Cloud Chart levels.
NVDA: Powering ahead as it broke past Cloud Chart resistance! Up significantly (+40%) since the AI and CC rebound signal! Next resistance zones key Cloud Chart levels. Back in bullish zone since price action is above the Cloud! Keep an eye out on the key resistance zones and upside targets!
PLTR: Breaking out of a W Bottom and Cup&Handle base breakout! Still going strong since the AI buy signal (up +80%). Keep an eye on the trailing stop for when it becomes to extended from the Cloud there is consolidation risk!
PLTR: Breaking out of a W Bottom and Cup&Handle base breakout! Still going strong since the AI buy signal (up +80%). Keep an eye on the trailing stop for when it becomes to extended from the Cloud there is consolidation risk! Secondary Cloud Chart buy signals also significantly up!
Monday, 12 May 2025
Xetra Dax Futures: Rebound rally up more than 19% since the AI buy signal! Top end of the Cloud is a key support zone for this rally!
Xetra Dax Futures: Rebound rally up more than 19% or more than 3800 points since the AI: Major Market reversal buy signal! Top end of the Cloud is a key support zone for this rally! Keep an eye out if the index future consolidates back down to key support! Trailing stop-loss in place!
This AI algorithm was developed using more than 8000 trading rules that delivers positive alpha, and with a success hit rate of more than 70% on average using genetic algorithm, technology to analyse deep data on the Xetra Dax futures contract!
S&P500 Index Futures: Rebound rally broke past Cloud Chart resistance zone! Next resistance zone targets: 5888/6012/6044! Downside support targets: 5598/5524 top end of the front end of the Cloud!
S&P500 Index Futures: Rebound rally broke past Cloud Chart resistance zone! Next resistance zone targets: 5888/6012/6044! Downside support targets: 5598/5524 top end of the front end of the Cloud!
So far so good the rebound rally is now up by more than 20% or +980 points in 22 days!
On the weekly Cloud Chart the index futures are getting closer to the top end Cloud Chart resistance zone!
Nasdaq Futures Broke past critical Cloud Chart resistance zone! Next upside resistance targets are 20941/21546!
Nasdaq Futures: Broke past critical Cloud Chart resistance zone! Next upside resistance targets are 20941/21546! Top end of the front end of the Cloud is the new support zone!
Friday, 9 May 2025
PLTR: Artificial intelligence generating great trading signals on PLTR! So far so good! Keep an eye out when it moves into profit taking zones when it becomes too extended from the Cloud.
Artificial intelligence generating great trading signals on PLTR! So far so good! Keep an eye out when it moves into profit taking zones when it becomes too extended from the Cloud.
Trailing stop in place for when PLTR drops down to test the support zone at the top end of the Cloud. It is possible for PLTR to test that level, that is the downside risk zone!
This AI strategy consistently outperforms the market and is using more combined data points that all of the investment banking analysts/brokers used in their entire lives! AI beating the pros!
This AI does not need any human input and never relies on the opinions of humans! That is perfect! So far combing AI and Cloud Charts generate some great trading signals!
Winning with AI!
CRWD: Artificial intelligence generating great trading signals on CRWD! So far so good! Keep an eye out when it moves into profit taking zones!
CRWD: Artificial intelligence generating great trading signals on CRWD! So far so good! Keep an eye out when it moves into profit taking zones!
Over last year AI has generated lots of high quality signals on trading CRWD! Winning with AI!
Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures fighting hard to break past Cloud Chart resistance. Make of break week to turn the Cloud Chart from bearish to bullish!
Nasdaq 100 E-mini futures fighting hard to break past Cloud Chart resistance. Make of break week to turn the Cloud chart from bearish to bullish! But so far its been a great rebound rally.
If the index manages to break past the Cloud that will turn the outlook to bullish on the Cloud Chart. The top end of the front end of the Cloud is the next support zone if we get the Cloud resistance breakout!
If resistance hold then there is more downside risk since price action below the Cloud remains bearish! Make or break week ahead!
BTC= Bitcoin hitting upside targets! Next targets: 106K/109K!
BTC= Bitcoin hitting upside targets! Next targets: 106K/109K!
So far so good the Cloud Chart BTC rally delivering a few good profitable trades! BTC managed to break past a key Cloud Chart resistance zone! So far so good! Downside risk is when BTC becomes too extended from the top end Cloud Chart support zone!
Here the previous update with the initial buy points and targets:
Tuesday, 6 May 2025
$GS Goldman Sachs had a strong rally +20% since the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Major Reversal buy signal!
$GS Goldman Sachs had a strong rally +20% since the Artificial Intelligence (AI) Major Reversal buy signal! ST line & trend line breakout buys also followed. Now GS is close to fighting Cloud Chart resistance at a major CC resistance zone. Need breakout past CC resistance. Downside risk: top end of the front CC support and the SL and TL of the Cloud Chart!
$JPM JPMorgan up by more than 15% since the Major Reversal AI buy signal!
$JPM JPMorgan up by more than 15% since the Major Reversal AI buy signal! ST line and trend line breakout buys also followed. Now JPM is fighting Cloud Chart resistance at a major CC resistance zone. Looking for a breakout past this resistance. If resistance hold, downside risk to the top end of the front CC support zone!
Make or break week for JPM!
