$HOOD Robinhood rebound rally getting closer to Cloud Chart resistance targets! AI Volatility Breakout trades caught a great rally so far in HOOD! The rebound from the 377 MAVG also delivered a great trading opportunity!
StarMine institutional data rankings highlight the risk in the stock!
Robinhood’s (HOOD) StarMine profile shows a stark divergence: stellar analyst earnings momentum and insider confidence set against severely elevated valuation and mediocre earnings quality, culminating in an overall weak Combined Alpha Model (CAM) rank of 26.
Core Model Breakdown
Combined Alpha & Value-Momentum (Bearish): HOOD sits in the lower quartile globally with a CAM of 26 and Value-Momentum of 25, dragged down primarily by steep valuation penalties despite strong sell-side revisions.
Analyst Revisions & Momentum (Primary Driver): Analyst Revisions (94) ranks in the top decile globally, highlighting aggressive upward consensus revisions for forward revenue and EPS. However, Price Momentum (36) lags substantially, signaling that broader market price action has yet to reward those upgrades.
Valuation (Heavy Headwind): Extreme multiples depress both Intrinsic Valuation (4) and Relative Valuation (9):
P/E: 51.28x TTM vs. negative industry medians (-1.28x), compressing to 41.80x NTM.
EV/Sales: 19.40x TTM vs. 4.57x peer median, and 15.64x NTM vs. 4.07x.
P/B: 10.15x TTM vs. 1.16x industry median.
Quality & Structural Risk: Earnings Quality (42) is below average, indicating that recent earnings improvements may rely on transient items or accrual swings rather than sustained operating cash flow expansion. Credit Risk - Structural (14) signals elevated balance sheet/leverage sensitivity under Merton structural credit models, though Credit Risk - Smart Ratios (54) remains balanced.
Ownership & Sentiment (Supportive): Insider Filings (77) reflects solid net insider buying or retention, while Smart Holdings (52) and Short Interest (50) remain essentially neutral.
Factor Overview
| Category | Model | Percentile Rank (1–100) | Signal |
| Alpha | Combined Alpha Model (CAM) | 26 | Bearish |
| Value-Momentum | 25 | Bearish | |
| Valuation | Intrinsic Valuation | 4 | Substantially Overvalued |
| Relative Valuation | 9 | Severe Peer Premium | |
| Momentum | Analyst Revisions | 94 | Exceptionally Bullish |
| Price Momentum | 36 | Bearish / Lagging | |
| Quality/Risk | Earnings Quality (EQ) | 42 | Below Average Cash Conversion |
| Structural Credit Risk | 14 | Elevated Structural Vulnerability | |
| Sentiment | Insider Filings | 77 | Bullish Insider Behavior |
| Event | M&A Target Model | 59 | Neutral / Moderate |
HOOD is a classic revisions-versus-multiple play: sell-side analysts and corporate insiders are heavily positioned for growth acceleration, but the quantitative engine is heavily anchored by premium valuation multiples and an unconvincing earnings quality score.
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