SANDISK SHARES ON TRACK FOR BIGGEST MONTHLY GAINS ON RECORD!
$META: Great move since AI generated trade signals. Reached the first Cloud Chart resistance zone target: 743 with next target 762! Results boosted the move since the AI trade signals! So far so good!
Meta broke past the top end Cloud Chart resistance zone and now entered bullish mode. As long as price action stays above this level we have a new rally in META.
AI generated trade signals are still active with updated trailing stops!
$XAU= Gold rally keeps going as AI generated trade signals capturing great moves! AI Vol adjusted trailing stop-loss updated to 5163 zone! So far so good!
Updated trailing stop loss at the 5444 zone on the 4 hour chart! FOMO YOLO keeping the party going!
$META StarMine data indicate an earnings surprise for META. AI Volatility Breakout signals still active!
Meta broke past the top end Cloud Chart resistance zone and now entered bullish mode. As long as price action stays above this level we have a new rally in META.
AI generated trade signals are still active with updated trailing stops!
Based on the StarMine and estimate data for January 28, 2026, Meta Platforms (META) presents a profile of high operational quality and solid credit standing, though it faces a "valuation trap" concern with bearish price momentum.
Meta's internal operational metrics are strong, but market sentiment is currently cautious:
Short Interest (89): This high score indicates very low levels of short selling relative to its history, suggesting the "Smart Money" is not betting on a major collapse.
Earnings Quality (74): This robust score suggests that Meta's profits are high-quality and sustainable, likely backed by strong cash flows rather than accounting adjustments.
Price Momentum (16): This is a deeply bearish score. It reflects the fact that Meta's stock has recently underperformed, with shares falling 7.3% over the last 30 days as of late January 2026.
Value-Momentum (13): A low score here suggests the stock is currently lacking both the "bargain" appeal to value investors and the "trend" appeal to momentum buyers.
Meta maintains an investment-grade safety profile, which is critical as it enters a heavy capital expenditure cycle for AI:
Credit Risk - Combined (85): Places Meta in the top 15% of global companies for creditworthiness.
Structural Credit (73): Indicates that the equity market sees Meta's asset value as being comfortably above its default threshold, even with the projected $117 billion Capex for 2026.
Ahead of its January 28, 2026 earnings report, StarMine identifies a potential positive surprise:
SmartEstimate Positive Bias: The StarMine SmartEstimate for EPS is $8.31, which is higher than the mean consensus of $8.23.
Predicted Surprise (+0.96%): This "Smart Money" bias suggests Meta is slightly more likely to beat earnings expectations.
Revenue Growth: Analysts expect Q4 revenue of approximately $58.79B, representing significant year-over-year growth, though management has guided for a YoY decline in the Reality Labs division specifically.
| Metric | META (Trailing 12M) | Industry Median | Takeaway |
| P/E Ratio | 28.18 | 0.00* | Trading at a premium to broader media, but lower than many "Mag 7" peers. |
| EV/Sales | 8.41 | 2.83 | Nearly 3x more expensive than the industry median based on revenue. |
| Intrinsic Value | 24 (Score) | N/A | StarMine considers the stock relatively expensive based on discounted cash flow (DCF) models. |
| *Note: Industry median listed as 0.00 in the provided data often indicates a lack of comparable profitable peers in the specific StarMine sub-sector calculation. |
Summary: Meta is currently a "High-Quality Laggard." It has the balance sheet and earnings quality to support its massive AI investments, but the low Momentum (16) and Intrinsic Valuation (24) scores suggest the market is waiting for concrete proof of ROI on its 2026 spending before a re-rating occurs.
$MSFT StarMine data indicate an earnings surprise for MSFT. AI Volatility Breakout signals still active on MSFT!
Great rebound from Cloud Chart support on the Weekly Cloud.
Rebound rally on the Daily Cloud chart now getting closer to resistance zone at the bottom end of the Cloud. Need to see a breakout past this Cloud zone!
AI generated Volatility Breakout signals still going strong with a revised trailing stop.
Based on the StarMine data for January 28, 2026, Microsoft (MSFT) presents a highly stable, high-quality profile that balances strong analyst sentiment and elite credit safety against a lagging price momentum and premium valuation.
Microsoft stands out for its rock-solid financial health and high institutional confidence:
Credit Risk - Structural (99): This elite score indicates that MSFT has an extremely low risk of insolvency. The equity market views its long-term assets as being safely far above any "default point".
Credit Risk - Combined (97): Reflects a near-perfect credit profile across all metrics, making it one of the safest corporate borrowers globally.
Analyst Revisions (87): Analysts are actively raising their earnings and revenue estimates. The SmartEstimate of $4.00 for the December 2025 quarter is higher than the mean consensus of $3.97, resulting in a positive Predicted Surprise of 0.74%.
Smart Holdings (84): Indicates high "Smart Money" backing, meaning top-performing institutional managers are largely increasing or maintaining their positions.
Despite its quality, MSFT is currently a "laggard" in terms of market sentiment and is considered expensive by historical standards:
Price Momentum (27): This is a weak score, showing that the stock has been underperforming its peers and the broader market recently. In the month leading up to January 23, 2026, MSFT shares returned -7.6% while the S&P 500 remained flat.
Relative Valuation (22): Microsoft is more expensive than 78% of global stocks.
EV/Sales (8): At 11.56, its revenue multiple is significantly higher than the industry median of 2.83.
P/B (13): Its Price-to-Book ratio of 9.84 is nearly 5.4x higher than the industry median.
Intrinsic Valuation (23): StarMine's proprietary valuation models suggest the stock is trading well above its fundamental fair value.
| Metric | QTR Dec-2025 (Forecast) | FY Jun-2026 (Forecast) | Takeaway |
| EPS SmartEstimate | $4.00 | $16.51 | Higher than mean estimates, suggesting a potential beat. |
| Revenue SmartEstimate | $80.50B | $328.08B | Reflects continued top-line growth. |
| Predicted Surprise | +0.74% (EPS) | +0.48% (EPS) | Positive "Smart Money" bias ahead of earnings. |
| Metric | MSFT (NTM) | Industry Median |
| Forward P/E | 26.96 | 13.95 |
| EV/Sales | 9.78 | 2.30 |
| P/CF (Cash Flow) | 20.11 | 15.76 |
Summary: MSFT is a "low-risk, high-quality" play with strong analyst backing and a positive earnings surprise prediction. However, it lacks the raw price momentum seen in companies like NVDA and trades at a significant premium to its industry.
Based on the StarMine data as of January 28, 2026, Tesla (TSLA) presents a profile of extreme valuation risk and deteriorating fundamentals.
TSLA is currently ranked in the bottom decile for its ability to generate excess returns relative to its risk:
Combined Alpha Model (9): This is a critical red flag. A score of 9 indicates that when all StarMine factors (valuation, momentum, quality) are combined, TSLA is among the bottom 10% of stocks for predicted performance.
Value-Momentum (1): This score is the lowest possible. It suggests that the stock has neither the "value" to attract bargain hunters nor the "momentum" to attract trend followers.
Intrinsic Valuation (1): Even with optimistic growth forecasts, StarMine’s DCF models suggest the stock is significantly overpriced relative to its fundamental cash-flow potential.
TSLA's valuation multiples are vastly higher than its industry peers:
Trailing P/E (270.76): Compare this to the industry median of 1.76.
Forward P/E (210.15): While slightly lower than the trailing figure, it is still 20x higher than the industry median of 10.15.
Price-to-Book (4): A global rank of 4 means TSLA is more expensive than 96% of companies globally on a P/B basis.
The StarMine SmartEstimate (which weighs the most accurate analysts more heavily) is more bearish than the general consensus ahead of the earnings report on January 28, 2026:
EPS Predicted Surprise (-4.63%): StarMine predicts TSLA will miss earnings expectations for the December 2025 quarter.
Revenue Predicted Surprise (-0.41%): A slight predicted miss on the top line as well.
EPS Growth: While a rebound is forecasted for 2026 with a 34.10% growth rate, 2025 growth is negative (-34.24% YoY).
| Metric (Next 12M) | TSLA | Industry Median | Status |
| P/E Ratio | 210.15 | 10.15 | Extremely Overvalued |
| EV/EBITDA | 91.77 | 6.00 | Extremely Overvalued |
| EV/Sales | 13.43 | 0.74 | Extremely Overvalued |
Insider Model (87): TSLA has a high Insider score, suggesting that insiders are not selling aggressively at these levels or are potentially buying.
Credit Risk - Combined (64): TSLA maintains a stable, investment-grade credit profile.
Summary: StarMine considers TSLA a high-risk "sell" candidate based on its Value-Momentum and Combined Alpha scores. The market is pricing in massive success for the 2026 Cybercab and Optimus robot launches, but current fundamentals and the predicted earnings miss suggest a significant disconnect.
Tesla's current Earnings Quality score of 62 represents a significant step down from its 2022 peak but remains relatively healthy compared to its long-term history, even as profit margins face extreme pressure.
Tesla's ability to maintain a quality score in the 60s is notable because its actual profit margins have been on a downward trajectory since late 2022:
Peak vs. Current: Gross profit margins peaked at 25.6% in December 2022. By late 2025, they had compressed significantly, with automotive gross margins (excluding credits) expected to fall to 14.4% for the December quarter.
Net Margin Volatility: Net profit margins reached 15.5% in late 2023 but have since dropped to approximately 5.3% as of September 2025.
Operating Efficiency: Operating margins, which once led the industry at over 16% in 2022, have compressed toward 5.2% as of late 2025 due to aggressive price cuts and rising AI infrastructure costs.
Despite the shrinking margins, StarMine still considers Tesla's earnings to be of moderate quality because they are generally backed by actual cash flow rather than accounting maneuvers:
Free Cash Flow (FCF) Strength: In Q3 2025, Tesla generated a record $4 billion in free cash flow, despite declining earnings.
Cash Pile: The company maintains a massive $41.6 billion cash and investment balance, which supports the "quality" of its balance sheet even as the "growth" story hits a hurdle.
Revenue Diversification: The "Smart Money" is likely looking at the Energy Storage division, which saw revenue grow 44% YoY with margins exceeding 30%, acting as a stabilizer for the less-profitable automotive business.
Tesla is currently in a difficult middle ground where its operational metrics are reverting to "legacy auto" levels, while its valuation remains in the "AI tech" stratosphere.
| Metric | TSLA (LTM) | Auto Industry Median | Peak TSLA (2022) |
| Gross Margin | ~17.7% | 35.7% (Cons. Disc. Sector) | 25.6% |
| Operating Margin | ~5.2% | ~6.0% | 16.8% |
| Net Margin | 5.3% | ~6.4% | 15.5% |
Summary: Tesla’s Earnings Quality (62) is essentially a "holding" score. It reflects a company that is still fundamentally profitable and cash-rich but is no longer the hyper-efficient margin leader it was three years ago.
Tesla's Credit Risk - Structural (49) score reflects a neutral market outlook on its long-term solvency as it enters a massive investment cycle in 2026. This score, while lower than its overall credit profile, indicates that the equity market sees a balanced risk-to-reward ratio regarding Tesla's ability to fund its next stage of growth without hitting a "default point".
Management has explicitly guided that capital expenditures (Capex) will "increase substantially" in 2026.
Targeted Projects: The surge is tied to mass production of the Cybercab, ramping up the Tesla Semi, and installing the first-generation Optimus (robot) production lines.
Infrastructure Costs: Significant capital is earmarked for scaling AI initiatives, including the production of the AI5 chip at Samsung and TSMC fabs in the U.S..
Historical Context: This follows a heavy investment phase where Capex was roughly $10 billion in 2024 and an estimated $9 billion in 2025.
While the Structural score of 49 suggests moderate risk, Tesla’s current balance sheet provides a massive buffer:
Cash Reserve Liquidity: Tesla exited late 2025 with $41.6 billion in cash and short-term investments.
Debt-to-Equity: Its total debt remains low at $7.5 billion relative to $80.7 billion in shareholder equity, resulting in a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 9.2%.
Projected Negative FCF: Some analysts forecast that the aggressive 2026 ramp-up could lead to negative free cash flow starting in the second quarter of 2026. This potential "cash burn" phase is likely why the Structural score is capped at 49 rather than being in the "Elite" range like Nvidia's.
The Structural model specifically measures the risk that a company's asset value will drop below its "default point" (liabilities).
Volatility Risk: Because Tesla's stock is highly volatile, the model perceives a higher statistical probability that its market-implied asset value could swing near its debt levels during a downturn.
Neutral Position: A score of 49 means the market views Tesla's risk of insolvency as perfectly average—it is neither a high-risk "distressed" firm nor a "risk-free" stalwart.
Summary Takeaway: The market is not currently worried about Tesla going bankrupt, but it is pricing in the fact that 2026 will be a year of high financial intensity where the company may spend more cash than it generates to build its AI and Robotaxi future.
FTSE100 Index Futures: Still going strong since the AI Volatility Breakout signals, as well as a great rebound from Cloud Chart support zones at the Cloud! Keeping a close eye on the trailing stops in the current rally! Top end of the Cloud is a major support zone on the Daily chart. Fantastic rebound from Cloud Chart support zone on the 4H.
$EURJPY New AI Volatility Breakout signal as EURJPY testing support at the top end of the Cloud!
On the 4H Cloud Chart EURJPY testing for support at bottom end of the Cloud. Rebound potential towards to top end of the Cloud when support holds at the bottom end of the Cloud!
AI generated Volatility Breakout signals with trailing stops updated on the charts.
$GBPJPY Consolidation risk towards top end Cloud Chart support zone! Updated AI Volatility Breakout signals on D,4H & 1H! On the 4H and 1H Cloud Chart GBPJPY needs to break past the top end Cloud Chart resistance to be bullish! Do expect a rally up to the top end of the Cloud zone on the 4H and 1H Cloud Chart.
GBPUSD: Great rally since the Cloud Chart trade signals on 4H Cloud Chart! The Standard Line is the new support zone!
GBPUSD bit extended now from Cloud Chart support so keeping a trailing stop in place when the consolidation kicks in!
