$HOOD Robin Hood Markets: Rebounding from weekly Cloud Chart support zones! AI Volatility Breakout signal active as well!

 $HOOD Robin Hood Markets: Rebounding from weekly Cloud Chart support zones! AI Volatility Breakout signal active as well! 

Big picture

StarMine is saying HOOD’s fundamentals are improving fast — but the stock is already priced for a lot of that improvement.

So this is earnings momentum vs valuation gravity.

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🟢 What StarMine really likes

These are meaningful signals:

Analyst Revisions – 99

This is the headline.

• Analysts are aggressively raising estimates

• Both quarterly and full-year EPS are moving up

• This is usually the earliest institutional buy signal

👉 When revisions hit the high 90s, funds pay attention.

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Smart Holdings – 74

• Institutions are adding, not trimming

• Not euphoric yet, but clearly supportive

• Suggests the rally is being underwritten, not just retail-driven

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Credit Risk – Smart Ratios (81)

• Balance sheet metrics are improving

• Profitability + cash generation are stabilizing

• StarMine sees falling financial stress

Important for HOOD, given its past “unprofitable fintech” label.

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🔴 Where StarMine is pushing back

Intrinsic Valuation – 11

This is harsh.

• StarMine’s normalized cash flow model says HOOD is well ahead of intrinsic value

• Growth expectations are doing all the work

Relative Valuation – 11

The table explains why:

Metric	HOOD	Industry
P/E (NTM)	~33x	~0–1x
EV/Sales (NTM)	~14x	~3x
P/B	~7.6x	~3.0x
Dividend	0%	~1.5%

This is premium fintech pricing, not brokerage pricing.

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Credit Risk – Structural (18)

• Business model still sensitive to:

  • Trading volumes

  • Market sentiment

• Structural risk hasn’t disappeared, even if near-term metrics look better

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Combined Alpha Model – 30

This is StarMine blending everything together:

• Revisions ✔️

• Institutional flow ✔️

• Valuation ❌

• Structural risk ❌

Net result: below-average forward alpha from here, statistically.

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📊 Estimates: what’s driving the revisions

QTR Dec-2025

• EPS: 0.63 → 0.64

• EPS change: +4.4%

• Predicted surprise: ~2.2%

FY Dec-2025

• EPS: ~2.08 → 2.10

• Revisions still positive, but slowing

👉 Key insight:

Revisions are strong now, but momentum usually peaks before fundamentals do.

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How to read this correctly

StarMine is not bearish on the business.
It is cautious on forward stock returns at this price.

This is the difference between:

• “Company improving” ✅

• “Stock attractive from here” ❌

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Practical takeaway by style

Momentum / earnings traders

• StarMine supports staying involved while revisions stay elevated

• Watch closely for:

  • Revision score rolling over from 90s → 70s

  • Any valuation narrative cracks

Swing / medium-term

• Risk/reward is tightening

• HOOD usually needs continued upside surprises to justify multiples

Long-term investors

• StarMine does not support chasing here

• Better entries usually come after:

  • Volume normalization

  • Or a broader market pullback

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One-line StarMine verdict

HOOD = improving business, expensive stock, revisions doing the heavy lifting.